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Prediction published on Feb 8, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Feb 8, 2026 8:01 PM
The Premier League spotlight turns to Stamford Bridge this Tuesday night as Chelsea welcome Leeds United for Matchday 26. The hosts sit fifth in the standings, while the visitors occupy 16th place after 25 rounds. With both sides coming off weekend victories, this clash promises intensity and attacking football under the London lights.
Chelsea enter this fixture in excellent form, having defeated Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-1 away on February 7. That result extended their winning streak to four consecutive league matches and six wins in their last seven across all competitions. The Blues have been particularly consistent in front of goal, scoring at least once in 36 of their last 38 matches and netting two or more goals in four of their last five Premier League home games.
At Stamford Bridge, the Londoners have collected 21 points from 12 league outings (6 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats). They have also scored in each of their last 16 home matches, with over 1.5 goals recorded in the last 11 Premier League fixtures played there. Their attacking rhythm has been complemented by a solid defensive record, conceding an average of just 1.1 goals per game this season. Overall, Chelsea’s league record stands at 12 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored per match.
Momentum is clearly on their side, and with the top four within touching distance, the Blues will be eager to maintain their pressure on the Champions League qualification spots. Their recent head-to-head record against Leeds also inspires confidence, with three wins in the last five meetings, including a 3-1 victory in December.
Leeds United arrive in London buoyed by a 3-1 home win over Nottingham Forest on February 6, a result that kept them six points clear of the relegation zone. The Whites have shown resilience since December, losing only twice in their last 12 league matches (4 wins, 6 draws). Their attacking output has improved, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game in their last five outings, while conceding 1.4 on average.
However, their away form remains a major concern. Leeds have earned just seven points from 12 away matches (1 win, 4 draws, 7 defeats) and are winless in their last nine on the road. Despite their struggles away from Elland Road, they have been involved in entertaining matches, with over 0.5 goals in the second half occurring in 20 of their last 21 fixtures. Their season record stands at 7 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
While Leeds have shown flashes of attacking promise, their defensive vulnerabilities away from home could be exposed by a Chelsea side that thrives in front of their supporters. The visitors will need to replicate the intensity of their December win if they are to take anything from this encounter.
Historically, matches between Chelsea and Leeds United have been competitive, with both sides averaging 1.6 goals per game in their last five meetings. The Blues have won three of those encounters, while Leeds have claimed two victories. The most recent clash ended 3-1 in favor of the Whites, a result that Chelsea will be eager to avenge.
From a tactical perspective, Chelsea’s attacking depth and home advantage could prove decisive. Their ability to maintain pressure throughout both halves—evidenced by consistent second-half goals—makes them a formidable opponent. Leeds, on the other hand, will likely rely on quick transitions and set pieces to threaten, but their defensive record away from home remains a significant obstacle.
Given the attacking trends of both teams, goals are expected. Eight of Chelsea’s last ten league matches and seven of Leeds’ last ten have seen both sides find the net, suggesting another open contest could be on the cards.
All indicators point toward a strong performance from the home side. Chelsea’s superior form, attacking consistency, and unbeaten streak against Leeds at Stamford Bridge make them clear favorites. Leeds’ away struggles further tilt the balance in favor of the hosts.
Chelsea vs Leeds United prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chelsea
Leeds United
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
10
0