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Prediction published on Jun 14, 2025 8:24 AM by Dario in International - FIFA Club World Cup | Modified on Jun 16, 2025 5:49 PM
Group D of the revamped FIFA Club World Cup kicks off on Monday, June 16, with a unique clash between Chelsea and Los Angeles FC, set to take place at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Chelsea, who won the tournament in the 2021/22 season (under the old format), enter this edition following a very positive season, capped by their UEFA Europa Conference League triumph (defeating Real Betis in the final) and a fourth-place finish in the Premier League, securing qualification for the next UEFA Champions League. Given their history and squad depth, the Blues are the natural favorites to top Group D, which also features Flamengo (Brazil) and Espérance de Tunis (Tunisia). Although there's a clear technical gap, there's still intrigue around how Chelsea will handle yet another international competition following a demanding season both physically and mentally. On the other hand, LAFC arrive at the Club World Cup eager to surprise. The American side secured their qualification by defeating Club América in the playoffs and come into the tournament mid-season in Major League Soccer, a factor that could provide an edge in terms of fitness and match sharpness. Additionally, Olivier Giroud brings experience and motivation to the Californian team. The French striker spent three seasons at Chelsea, even winning a Champions League title in 2021. However, sentiment will be set aside at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium, as both teams, despite starting from different positions, will be determined to secure three valuable points in their quest to progress to the next round.
Chelsea haven’t played since May 28, when they emphatically defeated Real Betis 4-1 to lift their first-ever UEFA Europa Conference League title. With this victory, the Blues became the only club to have won every European competition. Just days earlier, they had secured a Champions League spot with a 1-0 win over Nottingham Forest, thanks to a goal from center-back Levi Colwill.
The London side come into the tournament in excellent form, having won eight of their last nine matches across all competitions. In the 2024/25 Premier League season, they appeared balanced, averaging 1.68 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded per game. Their improved defensive solidity was crucial during the run-in: with breakout performances from Colwill and Trevoh Chalobah (recently called up to the England national team for World Cup Qualifiers), Chelsea kept a clean sheet in three of their last five matches.
Unlike Chelsea, LAFC are right in the thick of the MLS season. After 16 matchdays, they sit fifth in the Western Conference, firmly in contention for a spot in the knockout stages. In their most recent league fixture, LAFC defeated Sporting Kansas City 3-1, with goals from Segura, Denis Bouanga, and Olivier Giroud, who came off the bench in the second half.
Recent performances reflect a team in good health—unbeaten in nine matches across all competitions. Looking at their last five outings under Steven Cherundolo, they’ve recorded 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match. Their main strength lies in attack, having netted 30 goals in 16 league games—nearly 2 goals per game. Defense, however, remains an area of concern.
This encounter features two sides that prefer attacking football. However, Chelsea appear to be more defensively solid than their American counterparts. As the opening match of the group, both teams will want to make a strong impression, which could result in an intense and high-scoring contest.
Enzo Maresca's team, after a season of competing on multiple fronts, might feel some fatigue—but it's worth noting Chelsea are one of the youngest squads in the competition, which bodes well for stamina and energy. The Blues have multiple ways to hurt LAFC. For example: the pace and skill of their attacking trio behind Jackson (Madueke, Palmer, and Neto), Enzo Fernández’s late runs into the box and dangerous substitutes like Nkunku and Marc Guiu, who can change the game off the bench.
Cherundolo’s side are in solid form thanks to consistent MLS action and will aim to disrupt Chelsea’s plans and improve their chances of progressing from the group. Key players to watch for LAFC include Denis Bouanga on the left wing and the experienced Olivier Giroud. Another notable figure is Hugo Lloris, who spent many years at Tottenham Hotspur—adding a subtle “London Derby” flavor to the matchup.
Given both teams’ attacking style and the offensive weapons available to each coach, the Chelsea vs Los Angeles FC prediction leans toward a high-scoring match, with at least three total goals expected.
CHELSEA (4-2-3-1): Penders; James, Adarabioyo, Badiashile, Cucurella; Lavia, Essugo; Madueke, Palmer, Neto; Delap. Coach: Enzo Maresca
LOS ANGELES FC (4-3-3): Lloris; Palencia, Segura, Marlon, Hollingshead; Tillman, Jesus, Delgado; Yeboah, Giroud, Bouanga. Coach: Steven Cherundolo
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chelsea
Los Angeles FC
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
9
1
7
3