Tools
Chelsea
3 - 0
FT
Paris Saint Germain
Prediction published on Jul 10, 2025 2:57 PM by Dario in International - FIFA Club World Cup | Modified on Jul 10, 2025 6:35 PM
On Sunday, July 13, at MetLife Stadium, the grand finale of the FIFA Club World Cup 2025 takes place, featuring Chelsea under Enzo Maresca and Paris Saint-Germain led by Luis Enrique. Both clubs are coming off major European triumphs—Chelsea as the winners of the latest UEFA Europa Conference League and PSG as Champions League victors. With one final shot at international glory, the English and French sides will battle it out for the most prestigious club title outside of Europe. Chelsea’s presence in the final is somewhat unexpected—not because of their performance throughout the tournament, but due to their initial standing behind more heavily favored clubs, many of which were eliminated in the tougher half of the draw that included PSG. The Blues’ path was made smoother by finishing second in Group D, allowing them to face a more manageable knockout stage, where they eliminated Benfica, Palmeiras, and Fluminense. During the tournament, Chelsea also strengthened their squad by signing Brazilian striker Joao Pedro from Brighton, a move that paid immediate dividends as he scored twice in the semifinal against his former club. PSG, meanwhile, are on the verge of completing a historic season. After already securing a stunning treble, lifting this expanded edition of the FIFA Club World Cup would cement their year as one of the most dominant in club football history. Luis Enrique's side arrives in the final with four consecutive clean-sheet victories, including a 2-0 win over Bayern Munich in the quarterfinals and a commanding 4-0 performance against Real Madrid in the semifinals. With such dominance and relentless hunger for silverware, it’s hard to imagine them losing focus at this critical juncture. Still, Chelsea have proven resilient and now play with the freedom of a team with nothing left to lose—hoping to spoil PSG’s dream finish.
On July 8, Chelsea once again showcased their strong form, defeating Fluminense 2-0 in the Club World Cup semifinals. The match was decided by a brace from their new signing Joao Pedro, who joined from Brighton earlier this month for around €60 million and previously came through the Fluminense academy. The Brazilian forward caused constant problems for the opposing defense, scoring once with precision and once with power, both from the left side using his right foot.
The Blues have lost only two of their last 15 matches in all competitions, recording 12 wins and one draw. In the Club World Cup, Maresca’s men have won five matches (one after extra time) and lost one, scoring 14 goals (2.3 per match) and conceding five (0.83 per match), while keeping three clean sheets.
Pedro Neto is currently Chelsea’s top scorer in the tournament with three goals, followed by Joao Pedro with two. If Neto scores in the final, he would join a group of players tied at the top of the scoring charts with four goals.
Paris Saint-Germain are closing out a record-breaking season in emphatic fashion, winning 10 of their last 11 matches in all competitions. Their latest high-profile win came on Wednesday, July 9, with a 4-0 dismantling of Real Madrid. The Parisians sealed the result in the first half, thanks to a Fabian Ruiz brace and a second tournament goal from Ousmane Dembelé. Goncalo Ramos rounded out the scoreline in the closing minutes, dedicating his goal to his friend Diogo Jota.
PSG’s run in the Club World Cup includes five wins and one loss, with 16 goals scored and just one conceded. Luis Enrique’s squad is not only lethal offensively (31 goals in their last 10 games), but also boasts one of the best defenses in world football, having allowed just one goal in their last eight matches.
One standout feature of this PSG side is their ability to share the goals: in this tournament alone, three players have scored twice (Hakimi, Neves, and Dembelé), while Fabian Ruiz leads with three goals.
This season’s version of Paris Saint-Germain—and especially in the Club World Cup—has looked virtually unbeatable, unless, as happened against Botafogo, they inexplicably squander all their goal-scoring opportunities.
Given their recent 4-0 demolition of Real Madrid, the Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction from BetMines clearly favors the French side (pick: 2). While Chelsea have been impressive, it's hard to see them overcoming the reigning Champions League winners, who have lost just five matches throughout 2025.
Luis Enrique’s team has scored at least two goals in 10 of their last 11 matches, including four against Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid in the Club World Cup, and five in the Champions League final against Inter. With Dembelé now back as a regular starter, PSG are expected to break through Chelsea's defense multiple times.
CHELSEA (4-3-3): Sanchez; Gusto, Chalobah, Adarabioyo, Cucurella; Palmer, Caicedo, Fernandez; Nkunku, Joao Pedro, Neto. Coach: Enzo Maresca
PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Beraldo, Mendes; Neves, Vitinha, Ruiz; Doué, Dembelé, Kvaratskhelia. Coach: Luis Enrique
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1