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Prediction published on Jan 29, 2026 6:05 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Jan 29, 2026 6:05 PM
The Premier League’s Matchday 24 features a fierce London derby as Chelsea welcome West Ham United to Stamford Bridge. The two sides come into this clash with very different ambitions: the Blues are chasing a return to the top four, while the Hammers are fighting to escape the relegation zone. With local pride and crucial points at stake, this encounter promises intensity and drama from start to finish.
Chelsea approach this fixture in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their most recent triumph came in Europe, where they defeated Napoli 3-2 to secure a place in the Champions League Round of 16. In the Premier League, the Blues have recorded 10 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats so far, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea have been consistent, collecting 18 points from 11 home matches (5 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). They have scored in each of their last 15 home games and in 21 of their last 22 league fixtures overall. The attacking rhythm has been steady, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 10 home league matches. Their dominance in this fixture is also notable — Chelsea have won four of the last five meetings against West Ham, including a commanding 5-1 victory in the reverse fixture last August.
Momentum under their new manager has been strong, with five wins in six matches since his arrival. The team’s attacking depth continues to shine, with Joao Pedro rediscovering his scoring touch — four goals in his last seven league appearances — and Cole Palmer expected to return to the starting lineup after being rested midweek. Despite several injuries, including Dario Essugo, Tosin Adarabioyo, Romeo Lavia, Caleb Wiley, and Levi Colwill, the Blues’ squad depth remains impressive.
West Ham United arrive at Stamford Bridge with renewed confidence after back-to-back league victories over Sunderland (3-1) and Spurs (2-1). Those results have lifted spirits in East London, but the Hammers still sit 18th in the table with 5 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats. Their defensive record remains a concern — 45 goals conceded in 23 matches, the highest in the division.
On the road, West Ham have earned 10 points from 11 matches (2 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). They recently ended an eight-game winless streak away from home, but consistency remains elusive. The team has conceded in each of their last 21 league matches, and over 1.5 goals have been scored in 15 consecutive away Premier League fixtures. Despite these defensive struggles, their attack has shown signs of life, averaging 1.4 goals per game in their last five outings.
One of the key figures in their recent resurgence has been Crysencio Summerville, who has contributed to five goals in his last four appearances. The club has also been active in the transfer market, adding Adama Traore from Fulham to bolster their attacking options. However, injuries to Lucas Paqueta and Lukasz Fabianski limit their options, while El Hadji Malick Diouf could return after recovering from international duty.
This London derby brings together two sides with contrasting momentum. Chelsea are in strong form, combining attacking fluidity with resilience, while West Ham are improving but remain vulnerable defensively. The Blues’ home advantage and superior head-to-head record make them clear favorites, especially given their recent scoring consistency and the visitors’ defensive frailties.
Expect Chelsea to dominate possession and create numerous chances, while West Ham may rely on counterattacks and set pieces to threaten. Given that both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently — eight of Chelsea’s last ten and seven of West Ham’s last ten have seen both teams score — goals are likely at both ends. However, the hosts’ quality and confidence should ultimately prevail.
With Chelsea chasing a top-four finish and West Ham battling for survival, this clash could be decisive for both sides’ seasons. The Blues’ attacking depth, combined with their strong home record, suggests they are well-positioned to extend their winning streak.
Chelsea vs West Ham United prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 69% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chelsea
West Ham United
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
10
0