The twelfth round of the 2026 Major League Soccer season brings an exciting clash at Soldier Field, where Chicago Fire host New York Red Bulls. Both sides belong to the Eastern Conference, but their current situations are quite different: Chicago sit in fourth place, while New York occupy the eleventh position. With both teams eager to improve their standing, this fixture promises intensity and goals.

Chicago Fire’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Chicago Fire approach this match looking to bounce back from a narrow 2-3 defeat against Cincinnati on May 3, 2026. Despite that setback, their overall form remains positive, with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses so far this season. The team averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, showing a balanced performance both in attack and defense.

At home, the Fire have been particularly strong, winning 4 of their 6 matches at Soldier Field. Their attacking line has been productive, averaging 2.6 goals per game in their last five outings. Even though they suffered a recent defeat, their offensive consistency and ability to create chances make them a dangerous side for any opponent. The team’s recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses reflects a competitive spirit and a capacity to recover quickly from setbacks.

• Season record: W 5 · D 2 · L 3


• Average goals scored: 1.9


• Average goals conceded: 1.1


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Historically, Chicago Fire have also performed well against New York Red Bulls, winning 26 of their 63 meetings. Their home advantage and attacking momentum could once again play a decisive role in this encounter.

New York Red Bulls’ Recent Form and Key Stats

The New York Red Bulls arrive at this fixture in a difficult moment. They lost 0-2 against Dallas on May 2, 2026, extending a poor run of results that has seen them go winless in their last five matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats). Their defense has been particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game during that stretch, while scoring only 1.2 on average.

Across the season, the Red Bulls have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per match. Their away form has been concerning: they have lost at half time in 8 of their last 12 away games, and at least one goal has been scored before the break in each of their last 19 away fixtures. These numbers highlight defensive fragility and a tendency to start games poorly.

• Season record: W 3 · D 3 · L 5


• Average goals scored: 1.5


• Average goals conceded: 2.5


• Last 5 matches: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats


• Lost at half time in 8 of last 12 away matches

To stay in contention for postseason qualification, New York must improve their defensive organization and efficiency in front of goal. However, facing a confident Chicago side away from home will be a tough challenge.

Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls Analysis and Tactical Overview

This matchup contrasts two teams moving in opposite directions. Chicago Fire have shown attacking sharpness and home dominance, while New York Red Bulls struggle to find consistency and defensive stability. The Fire’s ability to score multiple goals per game could exploit the Red Bulls’ defensive weaknesses, especially considering that the visitors have conceded at least two goals in each of their last four away matches.

Historically, encounters between these sides have been competitive but often lean toward the home team. The last head-to-head ended 1-0 in favor of Chicago on July 27, 2025, and their recent record (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) suggests a slight advantage for the Fire. Given the current form and statistical trends, another home victory seems plausible, potentially by a margin of two goals or more.

• Head-to-head record: W 2 · D 1 · L 1


• Average goals scored: 1.0


• Average goals conceded: 0.8


• Last meeting: 1-0 (July 27, 2025)

For the Red Bulls, the key will be to stay compact defensively and avoid early setbacks. If they can resist the initial pressure and capitalize on counterattacks, they might have a chance to secure a valuable point. However, their recent form suggests that maintaining defensive discipline for 90 minutes could be a major challenge.

BetMines Prediction

Based on the statistical data and current trends, the BetMines prediction for this match points toward a Chicago Fire win (1) with a probability of 51%. A draw (X) stands at 23%, while a New York Red Bulls win (2) has a 26% chance. Considering the attacking form of the home side and the defensive struggles of the visitors, a home victory appears to be the most likely outcome.

Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 51% probability.