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Cincinnati
9:00 PM
November 7, 2026
Nashville SC
Prediction published on Nov 5, 2026 9:05 PM by Dario in USA - Major League Soccer | Modified on Nov 5, 2026 9:05 PM
Cincinnati host Nashville SC at TQL Stadium on November 7 in a Major League Soccer matchday 34 fixture. Both teams arrive after victories: Cincinnati beat Philadelphia Union 1-0, while Nashville edged New York RB 3-2. Nashville lead the league rankings supplied for this match, with Cincinnati seventh, but the win probabilities are close at 39% for the hosts and 36% for the visitors. Their recent meetings offer another reason to watch closely: each of the last four produced more than 2.5 goals. With Cincinnati aiming to make the most of home advantage and Nashville carrying an extended unbeaten run, the fixture brings together contrasting season records and a shared history of high-scoring encounters.
Cincinnati come into the game on the back of a 1-0 win over Philadelphia Union on October 31. Across their last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.0 per game. That recent defensive figure is an improvement on their Major League Soccer season average of 2.2 goals conceded per match. Their overall league record stands at 12 wins, 10 draws and 11 losses, with an average of 2.0 goals scored per game.
Matches involving Cincinnati have regularly produced goals. At least two goals have been scored in 29 of their last 30 Major League Soccer games, while each of their last 16 league fixtures has featured at least one second-half goal. That second-half sequence also extends across their last 11 home league matches. Those trends do not guarantee another high total, particularly after Cincinnati’s 1-0 result against Philadelphia Union, but they show how consistently their games have featured goals over a longer stretch.
There is also a striking first-half pattern at home: both teams had scored by half-time in 10 of Cincinnati’s last 15 home Major League Soccer matches. For this fixture, the hosts can draw encouragement from the most recent visit by Nashville SC to TQL Stadium, which ended in a 2-1 Cincinnati victory. Their latest result shows they can win a tighter contest, while that home meeting provides a reminder that they have also prevailed when this pairing has produced three goals.
Nashville SC arrive unbeaten in their last five matches, a run of three wins and two draws. Their latest outing was a 3-2 victory over New York RB on November 1. During that five-game stretch, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per match. Their season record is stronger still: 22 wins, eight draws and three defeats in Major League Soccer, alongside averages of 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
The visitors’ consistency extends well beyond their latest five results. Nashville have avoided defeat in 25 of their last 27 league matches and have not been behind at half-time in their last 13 away league fixtures. Across all their recent away matches, that unbeaten-at-half-time sequence stands at 14. They have also led at the break in eight of their last 13 Major League Soccer games. Those figures underline how difficult they have been to put under immediate pressure, even before their strong full-time record is considered.
Nashville also hold the advantage from the teams’ most recent head-to-head meeting, a 4-0 win on August 30. Yet that result sits alongside their 2-1 defeat on their last trip to TQL Stadium. Their last three away results have each featured more than 2.5 goals, giving this preview another relevant scoring trend without suggesting that Nashville need a particular type of result to extend their unbeaten run.
The recent head-to-head record presents a balanced contest: across the five meetings in the supplied summary, Cincinnati have two wins, Nashville SC have two, and one match has ended in a draw. Cincinnati have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in those games. The latest 4-0 result favoured Nashville decisively, but Cincinnati’s 2-1 home win shows why it would be unwise to judge the upcoming meeting from that result alone. The close win probabilities reinforce the sense that neither side has a clear-cut edge heading into kick-off.
The goals evidence is more consistent. All four of the teams’ latest meetings went over 2.5 goals, as did Nashville’s last three away results. Cincinnati’s broader league sequence—at least two goals in 29 of their last 30 games—adds weight to the expectation of scoring opportunities, even though it does not by itself establish how many goals this particular match will produce. The hosts’ recent 1-0 win and Nashville’s low season average for goals conceded offer reasons for caution, rather than certainty about another open game.
That contrast makes the fixture compelling. Cincinnati have home advantage and three wins from their last five, while Nashville bring a five-match unbeaten streak, a stronger season record and the confidence of their latest head-to-head victory. The available figures support a competitive match, but the repeated high totals in this pairing and Nashville’s recent away results make the overall goals market the clearest conclusion from the supplied evidence.
Cincinnati vs Nashville SC prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cincinnati
Nashville SC
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
8
2
8
2