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Cittadella
4:30 PM
November 15, 2026
Folgore Caratese
Prediction published on Nov 13, 2026 4:33 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone A | Modified on Nov 13, 2026 4:33 PM
Cittadella host Folgore Caratese in a Serie C: Girone A match on November 15, 2026, at 16:30 local time. The fixture brings together opposite ends of the standings: Cittadella are first, while Folgore Caratese are 20th. Both teams drew 0-0 on November 8, but the result carried different implications. Cittadella missed an opportunity to strengthen their lead, with Brescia three points behind and Trento four points back. Folgore Caratese, meanwhile, remain five points from safety and have gone six matches without a win. Those pressures give both sides plenty to play for at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato.
Cittadella were held by Giana Erminio in their latest outing, ending a run of league results that had established them at the top of Girone A. Their overall record remains strong: 10 wins, one draw and two defeats in 13 league matches. They have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game across that stretch.
Their last five matches present a slightly more mixed picture, with three wins, one draw and one defeat. During those games, Cittadella averaged 1.0 goal scored and 0.6 conceded. The draw with Giana Erminio therefore offers a reason to seek a stronger response, even if their broader results still give them a clear advantage in the standings over this weekend's visitors.
Home scoring has been a consistent feature for Cittadella: they have scored at least once in each of their last 12 home matches. They have also found the net in 19 of their last 20 matches overall. That record is particularly relevant against a Folgore Caratese side conceding an average of 1.6 goals per league game. At the same time, Cittadella's fixtures have not generally produced high totals, with fewer than four goals in each of their last 15 Girone A matches.
Folgore Caratese arrive after a goalless home draw against AC Carpi. It was their second draw in five matches, a sequence that also includes three defeats and no victories. Across those five games, they have averaged just 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Their six-match winless run adds urgency to a fixture against the league leaders.
Over the league season, Folgore Caratese have registered one win, five draws and seven defeats. Their averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match help explain the difficulty of their position, though the clean sheet against AC Carpi gives them a recent defensive result to build on. Turning another draw into a win would matter considerably when they are five points behind the safety zone.
The challenge is not simply to keep Cittadella out. Folgore Caratese must also improve on their recent scoring rate if they are to take full advantage of any opening. Their latest 0-0 showed they can prevent an opponent from scoring, but the last five matches underline how difficult goals have been to find. Against a team averaging only 0.5 goals conceded in league play, that contrast could be decisive.
This meeting pairs Cittadella's strong season record and reliable home scoring with Folgore Caratese's need for a result. The hosts have won 10 of 13 league games, while the visitors have won one of 13. Cittadella are also looking to respond to their 0-0 draw as Brescia and Trento pursue them in the standings. Folgore Caratese's own goalless draw leaves them with a different task: ending a six-match wait for victory.
The goal trends suggest that home advantage need not translate into a high-scoring contest. Under 3.5 goals has landed in Cittadella's last 15 Girone A matches, and they have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals over their last five games. Folgore Caratese's low recent scoring average points to a demanding afternoon for the visitors, although their clean sheet against AC Carpi is a reminder that they can make a match difficult.
Cittadella's record of scoring in 12 consecutive home matches is the clearest attacking pattern heading into this fixture. If they extend that run while maintaining their defensive standards, they will be well placed to recover from the Giana Erminio draw. Folgore Caratese have an opportunity to disrupt that expectation, but their recent results show the scale of the improvement required to leave with a win.
Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese prediction from BetMines: Cittadella win (1) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cittadella
Folgore Caratese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
10
0
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1