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Prediction published on Dec 3, 2025 8:06 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Dec 3, 2025 8:06 PM
Friday night’s Ligue 2 action brings an intriguing clash at the Stade Gabriel-Montpied, where Clermont Foot host US Boulogne in the 16th round of the French second division. Both sides are fighting to move away from the lower half of the table, and with only a few points separating them from the relegation zone, this fixture could prove crucial in shaping their mid-season ambitions. The hosts are looking to build on a steady run of form, while the visitors arrive with renewed confidence after a much-needed victory.
Clermont have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, remaining unbeaten in their last two Ligue 2 matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-2 draw against Red Star on November 22, a result that extended their record to four wins, six draws, and five defeats this season. Under the guidance of Grégory Proment, the team currently sits 11th in the standings, but with only three points separating them from the relegation zone, there is little room for complacency.
Statistically, Clermont’s campaign has been defined by balance rather than brilliance. They average 1.0 goal scored per match and 1.3 conceded, reflecting both their attacking limitations and occasional defensive lapses. Over their last five fixtures, they have recorded one win, three draws, and one loss, scoring and conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. Their home form has been relatively solid, and they will look to capitalize on that advantage to secure a much-needed three points.
Clermont’s main challenge has been consistency in front of goal. Despite creating opportunities, they often struggle to convert them into decisive results. However, their resilience and ability to stay competitive in tight matches have kept them afloat in the mid-table zone. A win here would not only provide breathing space but also boost morale ahead of a demanding winter schedule.
After a difficult start to the season, US Boulogne are beginning to show signs of life. The northern club, who were only confirmed as a Ligue 2 participant late due to administrative changes, have endured a challenging campaign but recently earned a morale-boosting 3-1 victory over Grenoble Foot 38 on November 21. That result ended a five-match winless streak and lifted them level on points with the first team outside the relegation zone.
Currently sitting 16th in the table, Boulogne’s record stands at four wins, three draws, and eight defeats. They average 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, suggesting a tendency toward open, high-scoring encounters. Over their last five games, they have posted one win, three draws, and one loss, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Notably, there have been over 0.5 goals in the second half of each of their last ten matches, underlining their attacking persistence even when trailing.
Coach Fabien Dagneaux will hope his team can build on their recent success and continue climbing the table. Boulogne’s away performances have been inconsistent, but their renewed confidence and attacking intent could make them a tricky opponent for Clermont. The visitors will also be motivated by the memory of last season’s relegation play-off defeat to the same opponent, which they will be eager to avenge.
This fixture promises to be a tense and competitive battle between two sides with similar objectives. Clermont will rely on their home advantage and structured approach, aiming to control possession and exploit Boulogne’s defensive vulnerabilities. Their midfield organization and disciplined back line have been key to their recent stability, but they will need greater efficiency in attack to turn draws into wins.
Boulogne, on the other hand, arrive with momentum and a more attacking mindset. Their recent 3-1 win showed improved creativity and finishing, particularly in transition. However, their defensive record remains a concern, as they have conceded in most of their recent outings. The visitors’ ability to maintain focus and avoid costly errors will be crucial if they are to take anything from this trip to Auvergne.
Historically, meetings between these two clubs have been balanced. Their last encounter dates back to April 2012, when they drew 1-1. In total, Clermont have won once, drawn twice, and lost twice against Boulogne, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Given both teams’ current form and statistical trends, another close contest with goals at both ends seems likely.
The most likely outcome is a Clermont win (1) with a 43% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 28%, while an US Boulogne win (2) stands at 29%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Clermont
Boulogne
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
4
6
1.5
4
6
6
4
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
8
2