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Prediction published on Feb 25, 2026 9:02 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Feb 25, 2026 9:02 PM
The 25th round of Ligue 2 brings an intriguing clash between Clermont Foot and USL Dunkerque, scheduled for Friday evening at the Stade Gabriel-Montpied. Both teams enter this encounter with very different ambitions but equally strong motivations. Clermont are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, while Dunkerque are pushing hard to secure a place in the promotion playoffs. With the season entering a decisive phase, every point gained or lost could prove crucial for their respective objectives.
After a difficult run of five consecutive defeats, Clermont finally managed to regain some confidence with a 0-2 victory away at Boulogne on February 20, 2026. That result provided a much-needed boost for a side that had been struggling to find consistency in recent weeks. Currently sitting 15th in Ligue 2, Clermont are only two points above the relegation line, meaning that any slip could drag them back into serious trouble.
Across their last five matches, Clermont have recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 6 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. These numbers highlight a team that often struggles to maintain balance between attack and defense. Playing at home, Clermont will look to capitalize on their recent win and the support of their fans to secure another vital result.
Despite their struggles, Clermont have shown flashes of resilience, especially when they manage to score first. However, defensive lapses have cost them dearly throughout the campaign, and facing a well-organized Dunkerque side could expose those weaknesses once again.
Dunkerque continue to impress in their pursuit of a top-five finish. Currently 5th in the table, they are just two points behind the playoff zone and remain firmly in contention for promotion. The team’s recent form has been solid, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five outings. Their most recent result, a 1-1 draw against Bastia on February 20, extended their unbeaten run to three matches.
Over the season, Dunkerque have built a reputation for being difficult to beat, with a record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses. They average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, demonstrating both attacking efficiency and defensive discipline. Away from home, they have been particularly consistent, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last ten away matches. Moreover, they have avoided defeat at half-time in 18 of their last 20 games, showing strong mental resilience.
Dunkerque’s tactical discipline and ability to manage tight games have been key to their success. They rarely lose focus, even when playing away, and their defensive organization often frustrates opponents. Facing a Clermont side desperate for points, Dunkerque will aim to control the tempo and exploit spaces on the counterattack.
This fixture promises to be a tense and balanced contest. Clermont will rely on home advantage and the momentum from their recent win, while Dunkerque will look to extend their unbeaten streak and strengthen their promotion hopes. Historically, meetings between these two sides have been competitive, with Clermont winning once, drawing twice, and losing twice in their last five encounters, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistically, the match could lean towards a low-scoring affair. The probability of Over 2.5 goals stands at 51%, while Both Teams To Score – Yes is estimated at 54%. Given Dunkerque’s defensive solidity and Clermont’s recent struggles in attack, the game might be decided by fine margins. The visitors’ ability to stay compact and efficient in transition could give them the upper hand.
According to the latest probabilities, the chances of a Clermont win are 30%, a draw 26%, and a Dunkerque win 44%. These figures underline the visitors’ slight advantage heading into the match.
BetMines prediction: The analysis points towards a Dunkerque win (2) with a 44% probability. Considering their consistent performances and Clermont’s defensive vulnerabilities, the visitors appear better positioned to claim all three points in this Ligue 2 encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Clermont
Dunkerque
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
8
2