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Clermont vs Guingamp Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Ligue 2 09-05-2026

Clermont

1 - 0

FT

Guingamp

Stade Gabriel Montpied
Mickaël Leleu
scattered clouds 16.92 °C

Prediction published on May 7, 2026 8:07 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on May 7, 2026 8:07 PM

The final round of Ligue 2 brings together Clermont Foot and EA Guingamp in a match that will close the season on Saturday evening. Both sides approach this fixture without major stakes, yet pride and the desire to finish on a positive note should ensure a competitive encounter. Clermont, who spent much of the campaign fighting to avoid relegation, have recently found stability, while Guingamp have struggled to maintain their early-season form and now sit comfortably mid-table.


Clermont Foot’s Recent Form and Key Stats


After a difficult first half of the season, Clermont have managed to secure their Ligue 2 status thanks to a solid run of results. In their last five matches, they have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their most recent victory, a 1-2 win away at Montpellier on May 2, 2026, was crucial in confirming their survival. Over the course of the season, Clermont’s record stands at 8 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.


Despite their improved form, defensive issues remain a concern. Clermont have conceded at least one goal in 21 of their last 22 Ligue 2 matches and in 15 consecutive home games. This trend highlights a vulnerability that could once again be tested in their final outing. However, their resilience and recent consistency suggest they will be eager to reward their supporters with a strong home performance to close the campaign.



  • Ranking: 14th in Ligue 2

  • Last 5 matches: 1W – 3D – 1L

  • Goals per match: 1.1 scored, 1.3 conceded

  • At least 1 goal conceded in 22 of last 23 matches

  • Last win: 1-2 vs Montpellier (May 2, 2026)


EA Guingamp’s Recent Form and Key Stats


For EA Guingamp, the end of the season cannot come soon enough. Once in contention for promotion playoff spots, their form has collapsed in recent weeks. The team has gone six matches without a win, collecting only one point during that stretch. Their last five fixtures have produced 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Most recently, they suffered a 0-1 loss to Bastia on May 2, 2026.


Over the full season, Guingamp’s record stands at 10 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Their decline in form has seen them slip to 11th place in the table, a position they are almost certain to maintain. With little left to play for, motivation could be an issue, but the visitors will still aim to end their campaign on a positive note after a disappointing run.



  • Ranking: 11th in Ligue 2

  • Last 5 matches: 0W – 1D – 4L

  • Goals per match: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded

  • Last result: 0-1 loss vs Bastia (May 2, 2026)

  • Only 1 point earned in last 6 matches


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


Historically, Clermont have enjoyed a slight upper hand in this fixture. In their last five meetings with Guingamp, they have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding 0.8. The most recent encounter ended in a 0-1 defeat for Clermont on October 24, 2025, a result they will be keen to avenge.


Given the current dynamics, the match could feature open play and several scoring opportunities. Clermont’s defense tends to concede regularly, while Guingamp’s attack, though inconsistent, is capable of finding the net. The data suggests a balanced contest, with both teams likely to score and the total goals potentially exceeding two. However, Clermont’s home advantage and recent momentum may tilt the balance slightly in their favor.



  • Head-to-head record: Clermont 3W – 1D – 1L

  • Average goals in head-to-head: 3.0 per match

  • Last meeting: Clermont 0–1 Guingamp (October 24, 2025)


Clermont vs Guingamp Prediction and Final Analysis


With both teams safe from relegation and no promotion hopes remaining, this final-day clash is primarily about finishing the season with pride. Clermont have shown better form recently and will rely on their improved confidence to secure a positive result at home. Guingamp, on the other hand, have struggled to find consistency and may find it difficult to reverse their poor run of results.


Statistically, the probabilities for the 1X2 market indicate a 33% chance of a Clermont win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 40% chance of a Guingamp win. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes stands at 54%, while the Over 2.5 goals market also shows a 54% probability. These figures point toward an entertaining match with goals at both ends.


Considering recent performances and motivation levels, Clermont appear slightly better positioned to avoid defeat and close their season positively in front of their supporters.


Clermont vs Guingamp prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score – Yes with 54% probability.

Clermont vs Guingamp - Predictions

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Clermont vs Guingamp: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Clermont

Guingamp

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Clermont and Guingamp in Ligue 2

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

11

Guingamp

34

10

10

14

42:49

40

1.18

D
L
L
L
L
13

Clermont

34

9

10

15

38:44

37

1.09

D
L
D
W
W
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Clermont vs Guingamp: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Clermont vs Guingamp be played?
The Ligue 2 match between Clermont and Guingamp will be played on May 9, 2026 at 18:00.
Where will Clermont vs Guingamp be played?
The match between Clermont and Guingamp will be played at Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand - France
Who will referee Clermont vs Guingamp?
The referee for the match will be Mickaël Leleu.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Clermont vs Guingamp in the Ligue 2?
The odds are: Clermont to win 2.62, draw 3.70, Guingamp to win 2.40.
What are the betting odds for Clermont vs Guingamp for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Ligue 2?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.80 and Under 2.5 at 2.00.
Will both Clermont and Guingamp score in the Ligue 2?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.66, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.10.
What is the most likely correct score for Clermont vs Guingamp in the Ligue 2?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between Clermont and Guingamp?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Clermont and Guingamp, Clermont won 3 times, Guingamp won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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