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Prediction published on Oct 21, 2026 6:27 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Oct 21, 2026 6:27 PM
Clermont host Guingamp on October 23 in Ligue 2, with kick-off set for 18:00 at Stade Gabriel Montpied. The teams are separated by just one point after nine matches, but neither arrives in convincing form. Clermont sit 16th and are still searching for their first league win, although seven draws show how often they have remained competitive. Guingamp are 13th with two victories, yet three consecutive defeats and a return of just one point from four away games make this a difficult trip. Clermont’s 3-3 draw at Laval last time out was the latest example of their season’s frustration: they led by three goals in the 72nd minute but could not hold on.
Clermont have recorded seven draws and two defeats in their opening nine Ligue 2 fixtures. Their most recent five matches have brought three draws and two losses, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Those recent figures are higher than their season averages of 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded, underlining how unusual the six-goal match against Laval was in the context of their campaign.
The challenge for Clermont is to turn competitive performances into a first victory. They came particularly close against Laval, only to leave with a point after surrendering a substantial late lead. At home, their last six Ligue 2 matches have all been level at half-time. There have also been no goals in three of Clermont’s last ten home league matches. Those numbers suggest that a tight opening period is possible, though the Laval result is a reminder that their matches do not always stay quiet.
Guingamp have won two, drawn two and lost five of their nine league matches. They collected two wins across their last five outings, but those were followed by defeats to Red Star, AS Nancy-Lorraine and Pau. The latest setback was a 2-1 loss to Pau on October 16. Over those five games, Guingamp have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, compared with season averages of 1.2 and 1.7 respectively.
The away record adds to their concerns ahead of this fixture. Guingamp have taken one point from four away matches since the league season began, so their opportunity to end a three-game losing run comes at a venue where they must also improve their results on the road. With only one point between the sides, a win would create valuable separation; another defeat would leave Clermont with a chance to move ahead of them.
This Ligue 2 match preview presents two different difficulties: Clermont have been hard to beat but have not won, while Guingamp have secured two victories yet arrive on a losing streak. The head-to-head figures favour Clermont, who have four wins and one defeat across the five meetings covered by the supplied record, with no draws. The most recent meeting finished 1-0 on May 9, 2026.
The goals data leave room for more than one type of contest. Clermont’s 3-3 draw with Laval and their recent average of 2.2 goals conceded show that they can be involved in open games. On the other hand, three of their last ten league matches finished without a goal, including three of their last ten at home. Their repeated half-time draws at home also point to the possibility of an evenly balanced start.
Guingamp’s run of three defeats and limited away return make it difficult to lean on their higher league position alone. Clermont have their own clear obstacle to overcome after nine matches without a win, and the collapse at Laval showed the cost of failing to protect an advantage. With both sides looking for a more reliable result, the lower-scoring pattern in parts of Clermont’s record offers the clearest basis for a prediction, despite the caution warranted by their latest 3-3 draw.
Clermont vs Guingamp prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Clermont
Guingamp
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1