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Club Bolívar
12:30 AM
August 12, 2026
São Paulo
Prediction published on Aug 10, 2026 7:03 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Sudamericana | Modified on Aug 10, 2026 7:03 AM
The Copa Sudamericana round of 16 brings together Club Bolívar and São Paulo in a first-leg contest at Estadio Hernando Siles. The home side enter the fixture with the stronger recent record, having won six of their previous seven matches across all competitions, while São Paulo have managed only one victory against their last ten opponents. Bolívar also arrive after eliminating Brazilian opposition in Grêmio and will attempt to establish an advantage before the return match. The structured Copa Sudamericana ranking data places Club Bolívar first and São Paulo second, adding further significance to a tie between two teams with contrasting recent momentum. Their latest recorded head-to-head meeting produced a dramatic 4-3 scoreline on January 31, 2013, while the overall summary shows one victory for each club.
Club Bolívar approach this Copa Sudamericana fixture in impressive form. Their most recent result was a 4-2 victory over Aurora on August 8, 2026, extending a productive period in which they have repeatedly found ways to win. Across their last five matches, Bolívar have collected four victories and suffered one defeat, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding 1.0. The wider run is similarly encouraging, with six wins from their previous seven games in all competitions.
The Bolivian side have also recorded a perfect start in the available Copa Sudamericana season statistics, winning both of their matches. They have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per fixture in the competition. Their attacking record extends beyond those two games: the team led by Alejandro Restrepo has scored 32 times in 14 matches, underlining why its forward output is one of the main themes surrounding this encounter.
Home trends provide additional encouragement for Bolívar. At least two total goals have been recorded in each of their last 20 home matches, and the team itself has scored at least once in every game during that sequence. Those fixtures have also consistently produced action after the interval, with at least one second-half goal in all 20. Early scoring has been common as well: the last 15 Bolívar home matches have contained a first-half goal, while the same pattern has occurred in 25 of their previous 27 games overall. These numbers suggest that the hosts are accustomed to matches developing on the scoreboard rather than remaining goalless for long.
São Paulo travel for the first leg after a difficult spell across all competitions. Their latest outing ended in a 2-1 defeat against Grêmio on August 8, 2026. Over the last five matches, the Brazilian club have registered one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game. The source article also notes that São Paulo have failed to win their last five league fixtures and have beaten only one of their previous ten opponents in all competitions. In addition, they have conceded at least once in each of their last four games.
Their Copa Sudamericana statistics, however, present a more stable picture. São Paulo remain unbeaten in the competition with three wins and three draws, averaging 1.0 goal scored and only 0.2 conceded per match. That defensive average stands in contrast to their more recent overall sequence and could be important against a Bolívar side that has scored consistently at home.
São Paulo’s continental matches have generally been controlled in terms of the final total. Each of their last 11 Copa Sudamericana games has finished with fewer than four goals, while the second half has produced fewer than two goals in ten consecutive tournament fixtures. Their last two away games in the competition contained no goals at all. At the same time, broader away data shows that 21 of their previous 23 road matches have featured at least one goal after half-time. São Paulo have also avoided being behind at the interval in 18 of their last 20 matches, and at least one team has failed to score before the break in 33 of their previous 34 fixtures.
The central question in this Copa Sudamericana preview is whether Club Bolívar’s attacking momentum can overcome São Paulo’s strong tournament-level defensive numbers. The hosts have scored in 20 consecutive home matches and have averaged two goals per game in their current Copa Sudamericana campaign. Their recent 4-2 win over Aurora offers another example of their ability to create a high-scoring contest, although an average of one goal conceded across their last five matches shows that they have not been completely secure at the other end.
São Paulo arrive with two sharply different statistical profiles. Across all competitions, their recent results have been disappointing, with three defeats in five matches and only one victory in ten. Within the Copa Sudamericana, though, they have yet to lose and have conceded an average of just 0.2 goals per game. Their run of 11 tournament matches below 3.5 total goals indicates that they have often kept continental fixtures within a narrow scoring range.
The timing trends could also shape the first leg. Bolívar’s recent home games have consistently included goals in both the first and second halves, whereas São Paulo have regularly reached half-time without trailing and have frequently been involved in opening periods where at least one side did not score. That contrast may make the opening phase particularly important. An early breakthrough would suit the hosts’ established home pattern, while a controlled first half would align more closely with São Paulo’s recent tendencies.
Recent form gives Bolívar the clearer momentum, but São Paulo’s unbeaten Copa Sudamericana record means the visitors cannot be assessed solely through their domestic and overall results. With a return match still to come, the home side will seek to use their scoring consistency to build
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Club Bolívar
São Paulo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1