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Colombia
3 - 1
FT
Costa Rica
Prediction published on Jun 1, 2026 11:20 AM by Dario in World - Friendly International | Modified on Jun 1, 2026 11:20 AM
The upcoming international friendly between Colombia and Costa Rica promises to be an intriguing encounter as both nations continue their preparations for future competitions. Colombia, ranked higher and playing at home, will aim to build confidence ahead of the World Cup, while Costa Rica look to regain form after a difficult run of results. Historically, this fixture has produced competitive matches, and with both sides eager to test their squads, fans can expect an open and entertaining contest.
Colombia come into this friendly looking to rediscover consistency after a mixed set of recent results. In their last five matches, they have recorded one win, three draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their most recent victory was a convincing 3-0 win against Bolivia on September 4, 2025, which showcased their attacking potential when playing at home.
In the current Friendly International season, Colombia have yet to secure a win, with two defeats recorded so far. They have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 goals conceded per match in this competition. Despite these numbers, their overall ranking in the Friendly International standings remains strong, sitting in 1st place. Historically, Colombia have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings against Costa Rica, including a 3-0 victory in their most recent encounter on June 28, 2024.
Playing at home has often been a source of strength for Colombia, who tend to control possession and create numerous scoring opportunities. Their attacking line has shown flashes of creativity, and if they can maintain defensive discipline, they will be well-positioned to extend their positive record against Costa Rica.
Costa Rica arrive at this match seeking improvement after a challenging period in international football. Their last five matches have produced one win, three draws, and one defeat, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. The team’s most recent outing ended in a 1-0 loss to Haiti on November 14, 2025, a result that highlighted their ongoing struggles in front of goal.
In the Friendly International season, Costa Rica have yet to secure a victory, recording one draw and one defeat. They have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 3.5 goals conceded per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by Colombia’s attack. Despite these setbacks, Costa Rica remain competitive and are currently ranked 2nd in the Friendly International standings.
While their defensive record has been inconsistent, Costa Rica’s attacking play has shown moments of promise. They have managed to find the net in most of their recent fixtures and will look to capitalize on any lapses in Colombia’s defense. However, their away form remains a concern, and facing a strong opponent on foreign soil will be a significant test of their resilience.
The head-to-head record between these two nations clearly favors Colombia, who have won four of the last five meetings, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game and conceding just 0.8. The most recent clash ended in a comfortable 3-0 win for Colombia, underlining their superiority in this matchup. Costa Rica, however, will be determined to reverse that trend and prove they can compete against higher-ranked opposition.
From a tactical standpoint, Colombia are expected to take the initiative, pressing high and using their attacking depth to create chances. Costa Rica may adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on compact defending and quick transitions. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, the match could see several goal-scoring opportunities, especially if early chances are converted.
With both teams showing a tendency to concede, this fixture could produce multiple goals. Colombia’s attacking strength and home advantage make them favorites, but Costa Rica’s ability to score in recent matches suggests they could still pose a threat.
Based on the available data, Colombia enter this match as the stronger side, with a 58% probability of winning. The draw is estimated at 25%, while a Costa Rica win carries an 18% chance. The goal markets also suggest a balanced contest, with Over 2.5 goals at 46% and Under 2.5 goals slightly favored at 54%. Both Teams To Score is projected as No (54%), indicating that Colombia might dominate without conceding.
Considering Colombia’s superior head-to-head record, home advantage, and attacking efficiency, the most likely outcome points toward a home win (1). Costa Rica’s defensive frailties could make it difficult for them to contain Colombia’s offense over 90 minutes.
Colombia vs Costa Rica prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Colombia
Costa Rica
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
7
3
4
6
4.5
10
0
7
3