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Comerciantes Unidos
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Alianza Lima
Prediction published on Jul 25, 2026 1:03 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Jul 25, 2026 1:03 AM
Comerciantes Unidos welcome Alianza Lima for a Primera Division fixture on July 26, 2026, with both teams looking to build on draws and defeats in their recent schedules. The hosts occupy 10th place and enter this match without a victory in their last five appearances, while fifth-placed Alianza Lima arrive after defeating Sport Huancayo 2-1. The broader season statistics favour the visitors, who have recorded 13 wins in 18 league matches and have lost only once. However, the immediate win probabilities indicate a closely balanced contest, with Comerciantes Unidos rated at 36%, Alianza Lima at 33% and the draw at 31%. Recent scoring patterns also point toward a controlled game: nine of the hosts’ last ten matches have stayed under 2.5 total goals, while each of Alianza Lima’s previous nine away fixtures has produced fewer than three.
Comerciantes Unidos come into the fixture after drawing 2-2 with UCV Moquegua on July 18. That result continued an unconvincing sequence in which the team collected three draws and suffered two defeats across its last five matches. During that period, the hosts averaged only 0.4 goals scored per game and conceded an average of 1.0, underlining the attacking difficulties that have limited their results.
The wider campaign offers a more balanced picture. Comerciantes Unidos have registered five wins, seven draws and six losses in the Primera Division, averaging 1.1 goals for and 1.2 against. Even so, their recent output in the final third remains a major concern. The Águilas de Cutervo have scored only five times across their last ten games, and they conceded the opening goal in six of their previous eight fixtures. Those numbers suggest that falling behind could once again make their task significantly harder.
One encouraging pattern is their ability to remain competitive during the first half of home matches. Comerciantes Unidos have avoided trailing at the interval in 19 of their last 21 home league games, and the same record applies across their last 21 home fixtures in all competitions. That resilience could be important against opponents who have won at half-time in six of their last ten matches. At the same time, three of Comerciantes Unidos’ previous ten home league games ended without a single goal, adding further support to expectations of a measured opening phase rather than an immediate attacking exchange.
Alianza Lima approach this away match with renewed confidence following their 2-1 victory over Sport Huancayo on July 20. Their last five results consist of one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per fixture. Although that short-term sequence has been mixed, their season record remains substantially stronger: 13 victories, four draws and just one loss, alongside averages of 1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per league match.
The Blanquiazules have also demonstrated considerable consistency over longer runs. They have avoided defeat in 24 of their last 25 Primera Division matches and in 25 of their previous 27 games overall. Their attacking record has been dependable as well, with at least one Alianza Lima goal in 28 of their last 30 league fixtures. Away from home, they have lost only two of their last ten matches, while allowing fewer than one goal in four of the most recent five.
Low-scoring away contests have become a particularly notable theme. Alianza Lima’s last 19 away matches have all finished under 3.5 goals, including 16 consecutive Primera Division trips. More specifically, each of their previous nine away games has remained under 2.5 goals. The visitors have also avoided trailing at half-time in 27 of their last 28 matches across all competitions and in 25 of their last 26 league fixtures. Those sequences indicate a side that is usually difficult to unsettle early and capable of keeping matches within a narrow margin.
The contrast between the teams is clearest when their full-season figures are compared. Comerciantes Unidos average 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in the Primera Division, whereas Alianza Lima average 1.8 goals for and only 0.5 against. The visitors therefore carry the stronger statistical profile, but their recent away matches have rarely developed into open, high-scoring encounters. That combination points toward a contest in which efficiency may matter more than the overall volume of chances.
The head-to-head record gives Alianza Lima another source of encouragement. Comerciantes Unidos have recorded no wins, no draws and five defeats across the last five meetings, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 3.0. The latest encounter ended 2-1 on February 8, 2026. Comerciantes Unidos have conceded at least once in each of their last five direct clashes with the Lima side, so José Eugenio Hernández’s team must improve defensively while finding a way to overcome its own limited recent scoring return.
For the hosts, staying level through the first half may be the clearest route to a positive result. Their strong record of not trailing at the interval in home fixtures supports that possibility, but Alianza Lima possess an equally impressive history of avoiding first-half deficits. With the visitors scoring in 28 of their last 30 league matches and Comerciantes Unidos producing only five goals across their last ten games, the away side appear better equipped to take advantage of a decisive moment. Nevertheless, the low-scoring trends surrounding both teams suggest that the margins could remain tight throughout
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
3
7
7
3
4.5
8
2
10
0