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Prediction published on Jan 13, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Jan 13, 2026 8:01 PM
The postponed Serie A fixture between Como and AC Milan finally takes place at the Sinigaglia Stadium, a match originally scheduled for mid-January but delayed due to the Rossoneri’s participation in the Supercoppa Italiana. The encounter promises to be a fascinating clash between one of the league’s most consistent sides and one of its most resilient home performers. Both teams enter this match with strong motivations: Como aim to close the gap on the top four, while Milan look to maintain pressure on the league leaders.
Como approach this fixture in solid form, having drawn 1-1 against Bologna on January 10. That result extended their unbeaten home record, making them one of only three Serie A teams yet to lose at home this season. Across their last five matches, Como have collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per game. Their season record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses reflects a balanced and disciplined side capable of competing with anyone in the league.
At the Sinigaglia, Como have been particularly impressive, combining defensive solidity with tactical intelligence. They have not lost at half time in 21 of their last 22 home matches, and in 7 of their last 11 home games they were already leading at the break. This consistency has been built on a compact structure that rarely allows opponents to dominate. In fact, at least one team failed to score in the second half in 29 of their last 31 matches, underlining their ability to manage games effectively once they take control.
Another interesting trend is the low number of corners in Como’s home fixtures — under 10.5 corners have been recorded in 21 of their last 22 home matches. This suggests a controlled tempo and a focus on positional play rather than constant attacking transitions. Offensively, the team has relied on creativity from players like Nico Paz and Jesús Rodríguez, both among the league’s top assist providers, while Baturina’s late equalizer against Bologna highlighted the squad’s fighting spirit.
AC Milan come into this match after a 1-1 draw with Fiorentina on January 11, a result that extended their unbeaten run in Serie A to 18 matches. The Rossoneri have been remarkably consistent this season, with a record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and just 1 defeat. They average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, showing both attacking efficiency and defensive reliability. Milan have also scored in each of their last 13 league matches, maintaining a steady offensive rhythm even in tight contests.
One of Milan’s most notable patterns is their strong second-half performance. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in each of their last 11 Serie A games, and in 30 of their last 33 overall. Away from home, this trend continues, with goals in the second half in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures. The team rarely falls behind early — they have avoided losing at half time in 24 of their last 26 league matches — which makes them particularly difficult to beat.
Historically, Milan have dominated this fixture. They have won all of the last four Serie A meetings against Como, including a 2-1 victory in March 2025. In total, they are unbeaten in their last 13 league encounters with the Lariani, scoring 22 goals and conceding only 6. These numbers underline the Rossoneri’s psychological edge heading into this match, even if Como’s home form suggests this will be no easy task.
This match brings together two teams with contrasting strengths. Como rely on compact defending and quick transitions, often using the width of the pitch to stretch opponents — a strategy reinforced by coach Fabregas’s decision to widen the Sinigaglia pitch earlier this season. Their home performances have been built on patience, discipline, and the ability to capitalize on late opportunities. The team’s resilience, especially in the final stages of matches, has earned them valuable points throughout the campaign.
AC Milan, on the other hand, thrive on control and late surges. They have gained more points from goals scored in the final five minutes than any other Serie A side this season, a testament to their mental strength and attacking depth. Even when not at their best, Milan’s ability to find decisive goals late in games makes them a constant threat. Their unbeaten streak and attacking consistency suggest they will approach this match with confidence, though Como’s defensive record at home could make this a tight contest.
Given the balance between Como’s defensive solidity and Milan’s attacking persistence, this fixture could hinge on small details — a set piece, a moment of individual brilliance, or a late counterattack. The Lariani will aim to exploit their home advantage, while the Rossoneri will look to extend their dominance in this head-to-head series.
Como vs AC Milan prediction from BetMines: Double Chance X/2 with 64% probability.
The data suggests that Milan’s unbeaten run and superior head-to-head record make them favorites to avoid defeat, while Como’s strong home form could still earn them a valuable point. Expect a balanced match with limited scoring chances, where the visitors’ experience might prove decisive in the final stages.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Como
AC Milan
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
5
5
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
7
3
8
2