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Prediction published on Jan 8, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Jan 8, 2026 5:02 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Como and Bologna promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 20th matchday. Scheduled for Saturday, January 10, 2026, at 15:00, the encounter at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia will see two sides heading in opposite directions. The hosts are enjoying a strong run of form, while the visitors are struggling to rediscover their rhythm after a difficult spell in the league.
Como have been one of the revelations of the Serie A season so far. Sitting sixth in the standings with 33 points, they are only three points away from the top four. The team’s recent momentum has been impressive, with three consecutive victories, including a commanding 3-0 win away at Pisa on January 6, 2026. That result extended their unbeaten streak and highlighted their defensive solidity — they have kept nine clean sheets this season, conceding only 12 goals in total, the fewest in the league.
At home, Como have turned the Sinigaglia into a fortress. They remain unbeaten on their own turf this season, with seven wins and three draws, and have claimed four victories in their last five home matches. Their ability to control games early is also notable: they have not lost at half time in 20 of their last 21 home fixtures and have led at the break in six of their last ten Serie A home games. These numbers underline a team that starts strong and rarely lets opponents back into the contest.
Offensively, Como average 1.4 goals per match while conceding just 0.7, showing a balanced and efficient approach. The recent form of Anastasios Douvikas, who scored twice against Pisa, has been crucial, and the team’s attacking depth continues to deliver results. Even with the suspension of Ramon, the squad remains competitive, with Diego Carlos expected to return to the starting lineup. The combination of solid defense and clinical finishing makes Como a serious threat to any opponent.
For Bologna, the situation is quite different. The team has gone six league matches without a win, collecting only two points in that period. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 home defeat to Atalanta on January 7, 2026, a result that extended their winless streak and pushed them down to eighth place in the table. The decline has been steep for a side that had previously been competing for European positions.
In their last five matches, Bologna have recorded no wins, two draws, and three defeats, scoring an average of just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.8. Despite these struggles, their overall season numbers remain respectable with seven wins, five draws, and six losses. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, suggesting that their current slump may be temporary if they can rediscover their attacking edge.
On the road, Bologna had been solid earlier in the campaign, going eight away matches unbeaten before losing to Inter. However, they have now lost at half time in each of their last three away games. Interestingly, over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last ten away fixtures, and at least one goal has been scored in the second half in 20 of their last 22 Serie A matches. These trends point to a team that tends to open up as matches progress, which could make for an entertaining encounter against Como’s disciplined defense.
Historically, Bologna have had the upper hand in this fixture. In their last three meetings, Como have yet to win, with one draw and two defeats, scoring an average of 0.7 goals per game while conceding 1.7. The most recent head-to-head ended 1-0 in favor of Bologna on August 30, 2025. However, the current form of both teams suggests that the balance of power may be shifting.
Como’s defensive organization and home strength contrast sharply with Bologna’s recent inconsistency. The hosts’ ability to maintain clean sheets and control possession could prove decisive, especially against a side that has struggled to find the net. Bologna’s attacking options remain uncertain, with a possible rotation between Dallinga and Castro up front, while Orsolini and Cambiaghi are expected to provide width. In midfield, Pobega and Freuler are competing for a starting spot, but the team’s main challenge lies in regaining confidence and rhythm.
For Como, the absence of Ramon will be managed through tactical adjustments, with Van der Brempt, Moreno, and Vojvoda potentially returning to the starting eleven. The attacking trio of Strefezza, Nico Paz, and Fadera supporting Douvikas gives the home side multiple creative outlets. Given their current momentum and defensive resilience, Como appear well-positioned to extend their winning streak.
This match brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories. Como are in excellent form, boasting three straight wins and an unbeaten home record, while Bologna are enduring a difficult period with six games without victory. The hosts’ defensive solidity and efficiency in front of goal make them slight favorites, especially considering Bologna’s recent struggles away from home.
Statistically, Como’s matches tend to be tight, with under 2.5 goals occurring in 55% of their games, and at least one team failing to score in the second half in most of their recent fixtures. Bologna, on the other hand, have been involved in more open contests, particularly away from home, where goals often come in the latter stages. The combination of these trends suggests a balanced but cautious encounter, where Como’s organization could once again make the difference.
BetMines prediction: Home Win (1) with a probability of 48%. The draw stands at 27%, while an away win is estimated at 25%. Given the current form and home advantage, Como are expected to continue their impressive run and secure another valuable three points in their push for European qualification.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Como
Bologna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1