On Wednesday, October 29, at the Giuseppe Sinigaglia Stadium, the match valid for Matchday 9 of Serie A will take place between Como and Hellas Verona, with both teams in need of points after drawing in their last fixture. The home side will try to take advantage of their home ground to return to winning ways after the goalless draw against Parma (0-0), staying within reach of the European zone. That’s a realistic goal for Fabregas’ men, who have already shown great performances in front of their fans this season, defeating Lazio and Juventus 2-0. Different mood for Hellas Verona, who arrive in Como still looking for their first win of the campaign. Paolo Zanetti’s team came very close in the last round, taking a two-goal lead against Cagliari before being pegged back in the final minutes, still earning a point that kept them above the relegation zone. This match, therefore, could tell us a lot about the real European ambitions of the home side and the visitors’ chances of achieving safety.

 

Como's Recent Form and Key Stats

Como are currently enjoying an excellent run of form, being unbeaten in their last seven matches across all competitions. In their most recent Serie A outing on October 25, the Larians drew 0-0 away at Parma, while the week before they had beaten Juventus 2-0 thanks to goals from Kempf and Nico Paz.

In their last five games, Cesc Fabregas’ men have collected 2 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per match. Their defensive solidity has been especially impressive, with two consecutive clean sheets against Juventus and Parma. However, against the latter, their attack failed to score after having found the net in each of the previous six games.

So far, Como have earned 13 points in Serie A, with a record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 9 goals and conceding 5. At home, they are unbeaten in six matches across all competitions and, more generally, have won or drawn 10 of their last 11 Serie A home games. They are, therefore, a very difficult team to beat when playing at the Sinigaglia.

 

Hellas Verona's Recent Form and Key Stats

On October 26, Hellas Verona squandered the chance to claim their first Serie A win of the season, conceding two stoppage-time goals to draw 2-2 at home against Cagliari. For Zanetti’s side, it was the second consecutive draw after the 0-0 away result against Pisa on October 18.

The Gialloblù’s recent form has been disappointing: 3 draws and 2 losses in their last five matches, averaging just 0.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. Despite the draw with Cagliari, that match at least marked the end of a five-game goal drought. Their last goal before that was scored by Orban from the penalty spot in the 1-1 draw against Juventus on September 20.

Thanks to that point against Cagliari, Hellas Verona reached 5 points in Serie A, coming from 5 draws and 3 defeats, with just 4 goals scored (the second-worst attack in the league) and 11 conceded. Away from home, they have yet to win this season, collecting 3 draws and 2 losses, and have failed to score in their last three away matches against Lazio, Roma, and Pisa.

 

Como vs Hellas Verona Prediction by BetMines

Given Como’s strong home performances and Hellas Verona’s struggles away from home, the prediction clearly favors the hosts, with a 60% win probability.

In their last meeting at the Sinigaglia Stadium, on September 29, 2024, Fabregas’ side beat Zanetti’s team 3-2, driven by goals from Cutrone and Belotti. In the return fixture at the Bentegodi, the two sides drew 1-1, with goals from Caqueret and Lazovic.

The feeling is that we could see a low-scoring game, with the Under 2.5 goals option holding a 59% probability. While the hosts tend to score regularly at home, the visitors have failed to score in their last three away matches.

For this reason, BetMines also recommends the outcome “both teams NOT to score,” with Hellas Verona being the most likely to fail to find the net. According to the BetMines algorithm, this option has a 60% probability.

Among the potential key players, for Como there’s Nico Paz, who has scored 4 goals and provided 4 assists in the first 8 Serie A matches, and for Hellas Verona, Gift Orban, who has netted 2 goals—half of his team’s total so far this season.

 

Probable Lineups Como vs Hellas Verona

COMO (4-2-3-1): Butez; Smolcic, Carlos, Kempf, Vojvoda; Perrone, Da Cunha; Rodriguez, Paz, Kuhn; Morata. Coach: Fabregas

HELLAS VERONA (3-5-2): Montipò; Unai Nunez, Nelsson, Valentini; Belghali, Serdar, Gagliardini, Akpa Akpro, Bradaric; Orban, Giovane. Coach: Zanetti