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Como
4:45 PM
October 21, 2026
Manchester United
Prediction published on Oct 20, 2026 7:32 AM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Oct 20, 2026 7:32 AM
Como host Manchester United at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on October 21, 2026, for a Champions League matchday-three meeting between sides that have each taken three points from their first two games. Como began their campaign with a commanding home win before losing on the road, while United followed an opening victory with a defeat of their own. Both therefore have an opportunity to move beyond that setback, but they arrive in different recent form: Como won their latest match, whereas United have gone six without a victory. With Cesc Fabregas and Michael Carrick now meeting as managers after facing each other as players, this Como vs Manchester United preview examines the form and statistics behind a closely watched contest.
Como made an emphatic start to their first Champions League campaign, beating RB Leipzig 4-1 at home. Matchday two proved far more difficult: they lost 3-2 away to Feyenoord in a game that included an own goal by goalkeeper Robert Sanchez. Assane Diao and Anastasios Douvikas scored in that defeat, having also found the net in the opening European match. Their contributions have helped Como average 3.0 goals scored per Champions League game so far, although an average of 2.0 conceded shows the other side of their start.
Como responded to the Feyenoord loss by winning 1-3 away to Fiorentina on October 18. Across their last five matches, they have two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals both scored and conceded. Their home record offers further encouragement ahead of United's visit: Como are unbeaten in their last five home games, winning three of them. They have also led at half-time in six of their last ten matches, though that record alone does not settle how this game will unfold.
Fabregas has personnel concerns to consider. Defender Trevoh Chalobah is a doubt after leaving the field early in the latest match, while Willy Kambwala is set to face a club where he previously spent four years. Sanchez, meanwhile, will be looking to put the Feyenoord own goal behind him. For Como, the immediate aim is to build on their Fiorentina result and reproduce the attacking impact they made in their first Champions League home fixture.
Manchester United opened their Champions League campaign with a 4-0 win over Sabah but lost 2-0 to Atletico Madrid on matchday two. Their record in the competition therefore matches Como's at one win and one defeat, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their wider run is less encouraging: United have won only two of their first ten matches this season and are winless in six, including three defeats.
Sunday's 1-1 draw with Leeds United extended that sequence. Over their last five matches, United have recorded no wins, three draws and two defeats, scoring 1.0 goal per game on average and conceding 1.6. Their away Champions League record is another concern, with just one win in their last ten matches on the road in this competition. At the same time, their last 11 away Champions League fixtures have each featured over 1.5 total match goals, so those trips have not generally been goalless affairs.
Carrick also has defensive absences and doubts to manage. Leny Yoro is suspended, Patrick Dorgu is out with a hamstring injury, and Luke Shaw is a doubt. Lisandro Martinez may also miss the match after limping off against Leeds. United have kept only one clean sheet in their ten games this season, a statistic Como will note after scoring six goals across their first two Champions League outings. The visitors have nevertheless failed to score in only three of those ten matches, giving them reason to believe they can respond after the blank against Atletico Madrid.
The contrast between Como's home results and United's away Champions League record is central to this fixture. Como's 4-1 victory over Leipzig showed what they can do on this stage at home, while their unbeaten run in five home matches gives them a firmer recent foundation than United's six-game winless spell. Their latest results also point in different directions: Como recovered from defeat in Europe by beating Fiorentina, but United followed their loss to Atletico Madrid with a draw against Leeds.
There are reasons not to treat the home side's advantage as decisive. Como conceded three at Feyenoord and have allowed an average of two goals per Champions League game, while United have found the net in seven of their ten matches this season. Goals could be part of the contest, particularly given the scoring record in United's recent European away games. Yet United's defensive availability and lack of recent wins make their trip more demanding, especially against a Como side that has already scored freely at home in this competition.
With both clubs on three points, the match gives either side a chance to improve on a mixed opening to the league phase. Como's recent home form and return to winning ways give them the stronger immediate case, although United's ability to score means Fabregas's side cannot rely on their attacking record alone.
Como vs Manchester United prediction from BetMines: Como win (1) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Como
Manchester United
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
8
2