Como begin their first European campaign with a Champions League league-phase match against RB Leipzig on September 10, 2026. The game kicks off at 19:00 local time at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. It is a landmark occasion for the home side, who have progressed from Serie B to Europe following their purchase by the Hartono brothers four years ago. Como secured Champions League qualification by finishing fourth in Serie A last season, edging Milan on the final matchday. Their visitors bring considerably more European experience, but Leipzig arrive after an inconsistent start to the German Bundesliga season and a difficult run of away results. With Como in encouraging domestic form and both teams producing notable goals statistics, this opening fixture promises an intriguing contest.

Como Recent Form and Key Statistics

Como have opened the new Serie A season with two victories and one draw from three matches, leaving them two points behind the early leaders. They started with a 1-1 draw away to Udinese before recording consecutive victories at Napoli and Genoa. Their latest result was an emphatic 4-1 win against Genoa on September 4, providing an ideal boost before the club’s first Champions League appearance.

Across their last five matches, the Blue and Whites have collected two wins, two draws and one defeat. They have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game during that sequence. All three of their opening league fixtures were played away while preparations were made for their European home games, so returning to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia adds another important dimension to this occasion.

Como’s home record from last season offers further encouragement. They won ten of their 19 home league matches and suffered only three defeats. The team have also lost just one of their last seven competitive home fixtures, although that setback was a high-scoring 4-3 defeat against Inter. Three of Como’s last ten home matches finished without a goal, showing that their home games have not always produced attacking entertainment, but their recent four-goal display underlines the threat they can carry into this meeting.

Anastasios Douvikas is one of Como’s principal attacking dangers. Only two players scored more Serie A goals than him last season, and he has already found the net twice this term. The squad was also strengthened during the summer with the arrival of Moise Kean, who has five career Champions League goals. He made his Como debut as a substitute against Genoa. The hosts are close to full strength, with Jayden Addai the stated absentee.

RB Leipzig Recent Form and Key Statistics

RB Leipzig approach the match needing to respond to a 3-1 defeat at Werder Bremen on September 5. Their Bundesliga campaign had started much more positively with a 3-0 home victory over Monchengladbach, but the subsequent away loss highlighted the inconsistency surrounding their opening weeks. Over their last five matches in all competitions, Leipzig have registered two victories and three defeats, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding 1.6 per game.

Away form represents one of the main concerns for the Red Bulls. They have lost four of their last six Bundesliga matches on the road, while they were behind at half-time in each of their previous three away Champions League games. Their broader European record also points towards decisive outcomes: Leipzig have avoided a draw in 37 of their last 40 Champions League fixtures.

Goals have been a regular feature of Leipzig’s recent matches. At least two total goals were recorded in 25 of their last 27 games, while Leipzig themselves scored at least once in 25 of those 27 fixtures. There has also been a second-half goal in each of their last 27 matches overall and in all of their previous 13 away games. At the same time, they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 18 Champions League matches, a sequence that could give Como confidence on their European debut.

Leipzig finished third in the German Bundesliga last season, but their previous Champions League league-phase campaign ended in 32nd place and without qualification for the next round. Their squad now includes new arrivals Christopher Nkunku, who joined on loan from Milan, and Marc Guiu, signed from Chelsea. However, Christopher Baumgartner, who scored 17 goals last season, has not travelled for this fixture.

Como vs RB Leipzig Match Analysis

This match brings together Como’s strong momentum and Leipzig’s greater experience in European competition. The hosts have taken seven points from their first three Serie A games and enter the contest after scoring four times at Genoa. Their productive home record last season, combined with only one defeat in seven competitive home matches, suggests they can compete confidently in a historic first European fixture.

Leipzig remain a significant attacking threat. Their average of 2.2 goals across the last five matches and their scoring record in 25 of the previous 27 games indicate that Como’s defence is likely to face sustained pressure. However, the visitors’ sequence of conceding in 18 consecutive Champions League matches gives the home attack a clear opportunity, particularly with Douvikas already scoring twice this season and Kean adding Champions League experience.

The available result probabilities give Como a 44% chance of winning, compared with 33% for RB Leipzig and 23% for the draw. The goals data is equally notable: both teams to score is rated at 56%, while the probability of more than 2.5 goals stands at 58%. Leipzig’s recent matches have frequently moved beyond a low-scoring pattern, and both their scoring average and defensive record support the possibility of several goals.

The second half could be especially important, given that every one of Leipzig’s last 27 matches has contained a goal after the interval. Nevertheless, their record of trailing at half-time in three successive away Champions League fixtures means Como may also look to make an assertive start. With the hosts coming off a 4-1 victory and the visitors having just lost 3-1, the recent results of both sides reinforce expectations of an open contest with chances at either end.

Como vs RB Leipzig prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 58% probability.