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Prediction published on Oct 9, 2026 10:34 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 9, 2026 10:34 AM
Como host Roma at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on October 11 in a Serie A meeting between two sides with strong starts to the season. Roma lead the standings with 13 points from five matches, while eighth-placed Como have collected 10. Both return after contrasting results before the break: Como lost 2-0 at Frosinone, and Roma drew 2-2 with Inter. The visitors bring an unbeaten league record, but Como have won their last three home games against Roma. That contrast makes this an intriguing test for both teams.
Como have taken three wins, one draw and one defeat from their opening five Serie A fixtures. The loss to Frosinone on September 20 ended their unbeaten start to the league campaign. Across their last five matches, they have won four and lost one, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their league averages stand at 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Home form offers a clear reason for confidence ahead of Roma’s visit. Como have not lost at Sinigaglia since April and have won their last three games there. They have also won their three most recent home meetings with Roma, scoring twice on each occasion. Those results give the hosts a strong record in this particular fixture, even as they seek a response to their setback at Frosinone.
Douvikas has scored 12 Serie A goals for Como in 2026, a club record for a player in a single calendar year in the competition. Como have nine goals and six conceded after five league rounds, while converting 7.6% of their shots into goals. Their attacking output has helped them double the five points they held at the same stage of the previous season, although the six goals conceded leave room for improvement at the other end.
Roma arrive with four wins and a draw from their first five Serie A matches. Their latest outing, a 2-2 draw against Inter on September 19, preserved that unbeaten start. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Roma have recorded three wins and two draws, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding 0.8 per game. Their league averages are even higher in attack, at 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
The visitors have won both of their league away matches this season. Including results from the previous campaign, they have put together five consecutive away victories in Serie A. Their scoring streak extends beyond those trips: Roma have found the net in their last 23 matches overall and their last 20 league games. They have also scored at least twice in each of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Roma’s recent games have regularly featured goals from both sides combined, with over 1.5 total goals in their last 14 matches and in their last 11 away fixtures. They have won at half-time in each of their last three away games, while remaining unbeaten at the interval in 24 of their last 25 Serie A matches. Malen has scored 20 goals in 23 appearances in 2026, and Pellegrini is available again. Cristante is unavailable for the trip.
Recent results point to an open contest without making the outcome straightforward. Roma have the stronger league record and have scored consistently, yet Como’s run at Sinigaglia makes them difficult to dismiss. The hosts have won their last three home encounters with Roma, whereas Roma have won two of the last three Serie A meetings between the clubs overall. Their four most recent head-to-head matches are evenly split, with two wins apiece and no draws.
The goal figures are particularly relevant to this Como vs Roma preview. Roma have scored at least twice in 10 straight Serie A matches, and four of their opening five league games have finished with over 2.5 goals. Como have seen over 2.5 goals in three of their first five league fixtures. Roma have also kept three league clean sheets, so their scoring run does not guarantee goals for the hosts; equally, Como’s home record and 1.8 league goals per game show why they can contribute to the contest.
Roma’s 2-2 draw with Inter demonstrated their ability to score against a fellow side near the top, but they also surrendered a two-goal lead. Como, meanwhile, must show that the defeat at Frosinone was a one-off after an otherwise productive start. With both teams carrying substantial attacking numbers into the fixture, the balance between Roma’s away form and Como’s home strength should shape the match.
Como vs Roma prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Como
Roma
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
5
5
5
5
4.5
6
4
8
2