Tools
Coquimbo Unido
3 - 0
FT
Deportes Tolima
Prediction published on May 18, 2026 11:03 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on May 18, 2026 11:03 AM
The fifth round of Group B in the Copa Libertadores brings a decisive clash between Coquimbo Unido and Deportes Tolima, two sides fighting for the top spot and a potential early qualification to the knockout stage. The Chilean team will host this crucial encounter with the clear goal of taking revenge for the heavy defeat suffered in the first leg, while the Colombian visitors aim to confirm their dominance in the group despite recent struggles away from home.
Coquimbo Unido approach this match in a positive run, remaining unbeaten in their last four games across all competitions. Their home form has been particularly impressive, with an ongoing streak of eight consecutive matches without defeat in their own stadium. This consistency has turned their ground into one of the toughest venues in the group. In this Libertadores campaign, Coquimbo have already beaten Universitario and drawn against Nacional at home, proving their strength when playing in front of their fans.
In their most recent outing, Coquimbo claimed a convincing 3-0 win over Audax Italiano on May 16, a result that boosted confidence ahead of this continental fixture. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. In the Copa Libertadores, their record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
Another interesting trend is their ability to start strong: Coquimbo have led at half time in their last three home matches and also in their last three overall. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 24 of their last 26 games, showing that their matches tend to open up after the break. The Chilean side will rely on their home momentum and attacking rhythm to challenge the current group leaders.
Deportes Tolima arrive in Chile as the current leaders of Group B, but their recent schedule has been demanding due to the overlap between domestic playoffs and continental competition. Despite this, their form remains solid: in their last five matches, they have achieved three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding only 0.4 per game. Their defensive stability has been one of their main strengths this season.
In the Copa Libertadores, Tolima’s record reads 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. However, their away performances have been less convincing. Their only continental trip so far ended in a 3-1 defeat against Nacional, raising questions about their ability to maintain the same intensity outside Colombia. In their latest match, they suffered a 0-1 loss to Atlético Nacional on May 16, a result that interrupted their positive streak.
Statistically, Tolima’s matches tend to be tight in the first half: under 1.5 goals have been scored before the break in each of their last 11 games, including the last 10 in the Copa Libertadores. Away from home, they have also seen under 0.5 goals in three of their last 15 matches, confirming their cautious approach on the road. The Colombian side will need to find a balance between defensive discipline and attacking efficiency if they want to secure a result in Chile.
This encounter promises to be a strategic battle between two teams with contrasting strengths. Coquimbo Unido will look to capitalize on their home advantage and attacking momentum, while Deportes Tolima will rely on their compact defense and experience in managing tight games. The Chilean side’s motivation for revenge after the 3-0 defeat in the first leg adds an emotional edge to the contest.
Given the statistical trends, the match could start cautiously, with both teams focusing on maintaining balance in midfield. Coquimbo’s recent habit of scoring in the second half suggests that the game might open up later, especially if Tolima’s defense begins to tire. On the other hand, Tolima’s low-scoring first halves and solid defensive record indicate that they will prioritize control and counterattacks rather than taking early risks.
Both sides have similar overall form — each with three wins in their last five matches — but the difference may come from the venue. Coquimbo’s unbeaten home run and Tolima’s struggles away from Colombia make the hosts slight favorites to take something positive from this fixture. A draw would still keep both teams in contention for qualification, but a home victory could dramatically shift the balance of Group B.
All signs point to a balanced and tactical encounter. Coquimbo Unido have the momentum and home advantage, while Deportes Tolima possess the defensive structure to make things difficult. Considering the recent trends and probabilities, the most likely scenario is a tight match with limited scoring opportunities.
Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 49% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0