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Coquimbo Unido
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Prediction published on Aug 17, 2026 10:13 PM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on Aug 17, 2026 10:13 PM
A place in the Copa Libertadores quarter-finals is at stake when Coquimbo Unido host Platense on August 19, 2026, at 22:00 local time. The second leg will be played at the Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso after the teams drew 1-1 on August 12. With nothing separating them following the opening encounter, this return fixture begins from a finely balanced position. Coquimbo Unido have the benefit of playing at home and did not compete over the previous weekend, while Platense arrive after another 1-1 draw, this time against Boca Juniors on August 16. Both clubs have recorded identical Copa Libertadores results this season, with three wins, two draws and two defeats, further underlining how closely matched this tie appears.
Coquimbo Unido secured an important draw in the first leg by scoring with the final action of the match. Substitute Guido Vadalá delivered the equaliser after entering from the bench, taking his Copa Libertadores tally to three goals. He has also supplied one assist in the competition and has consequently become one of the team's notable contributors during the campaign.
The Chilean side's recent overall record has been mixed. Across their last five matches, Coquimbo Unido have collected one victory, two draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their Copa Libertadores numbers are more productive, with averages of 1.3 goals for and 1.0 against across seven matches. They have now drawn their last two fixtures.
Home performance gives Coquimbo Unido a stronger foundation for this decisive contest. They have lost only once across their last 15 home appearances in all competitions and have won nine of those matches. They have also been ahead at half-time in six of their last ten home games. Another potential advantage is freshness, as the hosts did not have a weekend match before this return leg.
Several players made important contributions in the 1-1 first-leg draw. Goalkeeper Sánchez registered seven saves, while Cornejo Palma, Zavala and Lucas Pratto were also identified among Coquimbo Unido's strongest performers. Alongside Vadalá's impact from the bench, those displays helped the team recover from a losing position and return home with the tie level.
Platense travel to Coquimbo after drawing their last two matches. Their most recent outing ended 1-1 against Boca Juniors on August 16, four days after the same scoreline against Coquimbo Unido. Unlike their hosts, Platense therefore had a domestic fixture during the weekend leading into this Copa Libertadores second leg.
The visitors have one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five games. During that sequence they averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, although their Copa Libertadores figures are more balanced: 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 allowed per match. Their continental record of three wins, two draws and two losses is exactly the same as Coquimbo Unido's.
Platense have nevertheless shown that they can produce significant away results. They won two of their last three matches outside their own ground, defeating Independiente in the Torneo Clausura and Corinthians in Brazil during the closing stage of the Copa Libertadores group phase. Those results suggest that the visitors should not be dismissed solely because Coquimbo Unido have been dependable at home.
Franco Zapiola is Platense's leading Copa Libertadores scorer with three goals. Ignacio Vázquez, Guido Mainero, Cozzani and Saborido are also described as important parts of the side in the international competition. With forwards Nasif and Lotti injured, Platense brought in Luciano Giménez. He moved directly into the team and scored once across his first four appearances, indicating a quick initial adjustment.
The 1-1 result in the first leg leaves little margin between the teams, but the available data points toward a controlled contest rather than an open, high-scoring game. Coquimbo Unido's last 13 matches have all finished below 3.5 total goals, while Platense's first-half statistics consistently indicate restrained starts. In 28 of the visitors' previous 30 fixtures, no more than one goal was scored before the interval.
The recent form figures reinforce that expectation. Both teams have averaged only 0.8 goals scored across their respective last five matches, and both have posted one win, two draws and two defeats in that period. Their Copa Libertadores records are also identical. The first meeting produced two goals, while the structured probabilities favour under 2.5 goals at 59% compared with 41% for over 2.5.
Coquimbo Unido hold some contextual advantages. Their record of nine victories and only one defeat in their last 15 home matches is significant, and they should be the fresher side after having no weekend fixture. The win probabilities consequently give the hosts a 47% chance, ahead of the draw at 26% and a Platense victory at 27%. However, Platense's recent away successes against Independiente and Corinthians demonstrate that the visitors have already handled demanding assignments outside their own ground.
There are contrasting indicators around whether both teams will score. The first leg ended 1-1, Platense repeated that score against Boca Juniors, and Coquimbo Unido have recently combined scoring with conceding in domestic matches. Even so, the statistical assessment assigns 54% to at least one team failing to score and 46% to both finding the net. When this is combined with the two teams' modest recent scoring averages and the repeated low first-half totals in Platense matches, the under 2.5-goal option provides the most coherent conclusion. Corners may still be a notable feature, given that at least eight were taken in 20 of Coquimbo Unido's last 21 games, but the goal data points toward a tight second leg.
Coquimbo Unido vs Platense prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Coquimbo Unido
Platense
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
9
1
6
4
3.5
10
0
8
2
4.5
10
0
10
0