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Coritiba
2:00 PM
September 6, 2026
Mirassol
Prediction published on Sep 4, 2026 2:05 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Sep 4, 2026 2:05 PM
Coritiba welcome Mirassol on September 6, 2026, with the Serie A fixture scheduled to begin at 14:00 at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira in Curitiba. The two clubs approach this contest in contrasting form. Coritiba are seventh in the league and have collected three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five matches, while Mirassol are 17th after failing to win any of their previous five league games. The hosts are aiming to strengthen their challenge for a Libertadores place, whereas the visitors need points in their fight to move away from the relegation zone. Coritiba also carry confidence from the reverse fixture, which they won 1-0 on March 18 through a goal from Joaquin Lavega.
Coritiba enter this home match after a productive sequence in Serie A. Their latest result was a 3-2 victory away to Remo on August 31, extending a four-game unbeaten run that began with a 2-1 win over Chapecoense. Coritiba then drew 1-1 away to São Paulo before recording consecutive victories against Corinthians and Remo.
Across their last five matches, the hosts have registered three wins, one draw and one defeat. They scored an average of 1.6 goals per game during that period and conceded 1.2. Their overall Serie A record stands at 10 victories, seven draws and eight defeats, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 allowed per match.
The early stages of Coritiba’s home games have frequently featured at least one quiet attack. At least one team failed to score before half-time in each of their last 20 home fixtures, while the same pattern appeared in 37 of Coritiba’s previous 40 matches overall. Four of their last 20 home games finished with fewer than 0.5 total goals, although their recent results have produced more attacking action.
Coach Fernando Seabra returns after serving a suspension in the previous round, but there are several availability questions. Jacy was injured against Remo and is due to be assessed, while Josué was rested for that match because of muscular fatigue. Thiago Cóser is unavailable after receiving his third yellow card. Tinga, Pedro Rangel, Lucas Ronier and Brian Ocampo are also in the medical department.
Mirassol travel to Curitiba under considerably greater pressure. The visitors have gone nine matches without a victory across their recent schedule and are winless in five Serie A rounds. Their latest appearance ended in a 2-0 defeat against Flamengo on September 2.
Their last five matches have brought three draws and two defeats, with an average of only 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Across the full league campaign, Mirassol have six wins, seven draws and 12 losses. They average 1.1 goals for and 1.6 against, figures that underline the defensive problems accompanying their position in 17th place.
Away performances are an especially important concern. Mirassol have won only one of their 12 matches on the road, and they have conceded at least once in each of their last 12 away games in Serie A. Their defensive vulnerability is not limited to trips: the team have allowed at least one goal in 24 of their last 25 league fixtures.
Coach Rafael Guanaes also has selection issues. Negueba, Edson Carioca and José Aldo remain under medical treatment. Goalkeeper Walter, who was substituted against Flamengo, is considered doubtful for the trip.
Coritiba: Pedro Morisco; JP Chermont, Maicon, Rodrigo Moledo, Bruno Melo; Fernando Sobral, Sebastián Gómez; Joaquin Lavega, Vitor Tissi, Breno Lopes; Pedro Rocha. Coach: Fernando Seabra.
Mirassol: Alex Muralha; Igor Formiga, Gabriel Knesowitsch, João Victor, Willian Machado, Reinaldo; Carlos Eduardo, Denilson, Gustavo Cazonatti, Fernandinho; André Luís. Coach: Rafael Guanaes.
The contrast in momentum gives Coritiba a clear platform for this fixture. Their four-game unbeaten sequence has included three victories, and they have scored at least twice in three of those matches. Playing at home offers another opportunity to build on that progress and increase their current total of 37 points.
Mirassol, by comparison, arrive without a victory in their last five league rounds and with only 0.6 goals scored per game across their five most recent outings. Their run of conceding in 12 consecutive Serie A away matches suggests that keeping Coritiba off the scoresheet will be a difficult task. However, the visitors’ need for points should ensure that the contest remains competitive.
The head-to-head picture is mixed. Coritiba won the most recent meeting 1-0, but their overall summary against Mirassol reads one victory and two defeats, with averages of 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. That record provides a reminder that the hosts cannot rely solely on their superior recent form.
The available probabilities give Coritiba a 43% chance of victory, compared with 27% for the draw and 30% for a Mirassol win. Under 2.5 goals is rated at 55%, and the reverse fixture also produced only one goal. Even so, Coritiba’s stronger current results, Mirassol’s persistent defensive struggles and the home side’s victory in the first meeting make the hosts the more coherent choice.
Coritiba vs Mirassol prediction from BetMines: Coritiba win (1) with 43% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Coritiba
Mirassol
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
7
3
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1