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Cosenza
0 - 2
FT
Monopoli
Prediction published on Jan 3, 2026 11:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Jan 3, 2026 11:01 PM
The upcoming Serie C: Girone C clash between Cosenza and Monopoli promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides with contrasting recent form. The home team have been one of the most consistent performers in the group, currently sitting fourth in the standings, while the visitors occupy eighth place. With nine points separating them, this Monday night fixture could further underline the ambitions of both clubs as they chase their respective goals for the season.
Cosenza approach this match in excellent shape, having lost only once in their last ten outings. Their most recent victory, a 2-1 win over Cavese on December 19, confirmed their strong momentum heading into the new year. Over their last five matches, they have collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. This balance between attack and defense has been a key factor in their rise to the upper part of the table.
Across the season, the Calabrian side have recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per match. Impressively, they have found the net in each of their last 16 league games, a testament to their attacking consistency. Playing at home has been particularly rewarding for Cosenza, who seem to draw extra energy from their supporters and have turned their ground into a difficult venue for visiting teams.
With such numbers, it’s no surprise that bookmakers and analysts alike consider Cosenza favorites for this fixture. Their ability to maintain pressure and convert chances at home could once again prove decisive.
Monopoli have endured a more inconsistent run of results, alternating between solid performances and disappointing setbacks. Their last outing ended in a 2-1 victory over Potenza Calcio on December 21, a result that provided a much-needed boost after a difficult spell. In their last five matches, they have managed one win, two draws, and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game while conceding 1.4.
Over the course of the season, Monopoli’s record stands at 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Away from home, however, they have struggled to impose themselves. They have not led at half time in any of their last 16 away fixtures and have lost the first half in each of their last four trips. Despite this, their matches tend to open up after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last 10 league games.
While Monopoli have shown flashes of quality, their inconsistency and difficulties on the road remain major concerns. They will need to find greater stability if they are to challenge a side as confident as Cosenza, especially in such a demanding away environment.
The recent history between these two teams has been evenly balanced. In their last five meetings, both sides have won twice, with one draw. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on August 24, 2025, highlighting how competitive this fixture can be. On average, both teams have scored 1.4 goals per game in these head-to-head clashes, suggesting that goals are often shared evenly.
Given Cosenza’s attacking rhythm and Monopoli’s tendency to concede away from home, the match could see the hosts taking control early on. However, Monopoli’s ability to find goals in the second half means that the visitors cannot be completely ruled out. The key battle may lie in midfield, where Cosenza’s balance and pressing could limit Monopoli’s build-up play.
Both teams have shown contrasting patterns: Cosenza thrive on consistency and home advantage, while Monopoli rely on resilience and late-game reactions. If the hosts maintain their current scoring streak and defensive discipline, they are well-positioned to secure another valuable three points.
All indicators point towards a tight but favorable outcome for Cosenza. Their superior form, home strength, and scoring reliability make them the logical favorites. Monopoli’s away struggles, particularly their poor first-half record, could once again prove costly. The last head-to-head draw shows that Monopoli can compete, but replicating that performance away from home will be a tough challenge.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at 54% for a Cosenza win (1), 27% for a draw (X), and 19% for a Monopoli win (2). The balance of probabilities and recent form both reinforce the expectation of a home victory.
Cosenza vs Monopoli prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cosenza
Monopoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
6
4
10
0
4.5
8
2
10
0