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Prediction published on Jun 28, 2026 5:01 PM by Dario in World - World Cup | Modified on Jun 28, 2026 5:01 PM
The knockout stage of the World Cup brings an intriguing clash between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway. Both nations finished second in their respective groups, each collecting two wins and one defeat, and now face off for a place in the last 16. The winner of this encounter will move on to meet either Brazil or Japan in the next round. The match promises to be a fascinating battle between the disciplined defense of the Elephants and the attacking power of the Vikings, led by their prolific forward who has already made headlines in this tournament.
Côte d'Ivoire have made history by reaching the knockout stages for the first time in their World Cup history. Their campaign has been marked by consistency and defensive strength. In the group stage, they began with a narrow 1-0 victory over Ecuador, followed by a 2-1 loss to Germany despite taking the lead, and then sealed qualification with a confident 2-0 win against Curacao. That final group match showcased their attacking efficiency, with both goals coming from Nicolas Pepe.
The Elephants’ recent record is impressive, with four wins in their last five matches and an average of 1.4 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.6. Their season stats in the World Cup show two wins and one defeat, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match. Another key strength has been their resilience in the first half — they haven’t lost at half time in their last 20 home matches. Additionally, there have been over 0.5 goals in the second half in each of their last 11 games, showing their ability to stay competitive and decisive late in matches.
Confidence is high in the Ivorian camp, and their supporters will hope that the team’s balance between defense and attack can carry them through another historic night. The Elephants’ ability to control tempo and strike at the right moments could be crucial against a Norwegian side known for its offensive firepower.
Norway enter this knockout tie after finishing second in their group, having started the tournament with two strong wins before suffering a heavy 4-1 defeat to France. That loss came after their qualification was already secured, and several key players were rested. The Vikings’ campaign has been defined by their attacking prowess, spearheaded by their star striker, who has already scored multiple goals in the finals after a record-breaking qualifying phase.
In their last five matches, Norway have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their World Cup season stats show two wins and one loss, with an average of 2.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. They have found the net in each of their last 18 matches, underlining their attacking consistency. Moreover, they have won at half time in 10 of their last 15 games, often taking early control of matches. Like their opponents, Norway’s matches tend to open up after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in each of their last 10 fixtures.
Despite the setback against France, Norway remain a dangerous side. Their offensive rhythm and ability to create chances from various positions make them a constant threat. The return of their rested key players should provide a significant boost as they aim to reach the last 16 for the first time in decades.
This encounter between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway brings together two teams with contrasting styles but similar ambitions. The Elephants rely on structure, compact defending, and quick transitions, while the Vikings prefer a more direct and aggressive approach, often pressing high and exploiting spaces behind the defense. Both sides have shown they can score, and their recent statistics suggest that goals are likely to come from both ends.
Norway’s attacking line, led by their prolific forward, will test the Ivorian defense that has conceded only twice in the group stage. On the other hand, Côte d'Ivoire’s ability to stay composed under pressure and strike late could trouble a Norwegian backline that has occasionally looked vulnerable. The key battle may unfold in midfield, where control of possession and tempo will determine which team dictates the rhythm of the game.
Given the form of both teams, this match could be a high-energy contest with plenty of attacking intent. Norway’s offensive numbers are slightly stronger, but Côte d'Ivoire’s defensive discipline and efficiency in front of goal make them a formidable opponent. The balance between Norway’s firepower and Côte d'Ivoire’s resilience could lead to a thrilling and closely contested tie.
According to the latest probabilities, the most likely outcome for this match is a Norway win (2) with a 43% probability. A draw follows at 24%, while a Côte d'Ivoire victory stands at 32%. The data also indicates a strong chance of goals, with Both Teams To Score – Yes at 59% and Over 2.5 goals also at 59%. Based on these insights, the BetMines prediction for this World Cup clash leans towards Over 2.5 goals with a 59% probability, reflecting the attacking nature and recent scoring trends of both sides.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Côte d'Ivoire
Norway
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
7
3
4
6
4.5
8
2
5
5