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Prediction published on Jan 6, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Jan 6, 2026 6:01 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Cremonese and Cagliari at the Stadio Giovanni Zini promises to be a tense and balanced encounter. Both sides are separated by just three points in the standings, with Cremonese sitting 13th and Cagliari 14th. The hosts are looking to bounce back after a difficult run of results, while the visitors aim to recover from their recent defeat and climb away from the lower part of the table. With both teams struggling for consistency, this fixture could play a crucial role in shaping their mid-season momentum.
Cremonese enter this match after a 1-0 loss against Fiorentina on January 4, extending their winless streak to four consecutive league games. Their recent form shows one win, one draw, and three defeats in the last five outings, with an average of 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Over the course of the season, Cremonese have recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Offensively, the team has struggled to find the net, failing to score in four straight Serie A matches — a negative streak they will be eager to end in front of their supporters. At home, Cremonese have lost three of their last four fixtures, after remaining unbeaten in their first four home games of the campaign. Their attacking inefficiency has been a major concern, with only two of their last ten home matches featuring more than 0.5 goals in the first half.
Historically, Cremonese have struggled against Cagliari, failing to win any of their last three meetings and losing each of them by a 1-0 scoreline. However, all three of their Serie A victories over the Sardinian side have come at home, suggesting that the Zini could once again play a decisive role.
Cagliari come into this fixture following a narrow 1-0 defeat to AC Milan on January 2. That result ended a brief positive run that included a 2-1 away victory over Torino. In their last five matches, the Sardinians have collected two wins, one draw, and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 1.2 per game. Their overall Serie A record stands at 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
Despite their inconsistency, Cagliari have shown a tendency to produce action-packed second halves — over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 25 of their last 27 matches, and in 23 of their last 25 Serie A fixtures. However, their away form remains a concern: they have won only one of their last eight away games against newly promoted sides, losing four of the last five. The team will need to improve their attacking efficiency, especially in the opening stages, as they have scored just two goals in the first 30 minutes of play this season — none of them in the first quarter-hour.
Historically, Cagliari have dominated this matchup, winning the last three meetings by the same 1-0 scoreline. However, their current injury list is long, and their lack of consistency away from home could make this trip to Cremona particularly challenging.
CREMONESE (3-5-2): Audero; Terracciano, Baschirotto, Bianchetti; Barbieri, Vandeputte, Bondo, Payero, Pezzella; Bonazzoli, Vardy.
CAGLIARI (3-5-2): Caprile; Zappa, Mina, Luperto; Palestra, Adopo, Prati, Mazzitelli, Obert; Kilicsoy, Gaetano.
This fixture brings together two sides that have struggled to find attacking rhythm in recent weeks. Cremonese have failed to score in their last four league matches, while Cagliari have been inconsistent in front of goal, particularly away from home. Both teams tend to rely on compact defensive setups, and given their recent scoring records, a low-scoring contest appears likely.
The historical trend also supports a cautious outlook: the last three head-to-head meetings ended 1-0 in favor of Cagliari, and both teams have shown a preference for tight, tactical battles. Cremonese will look to exploit home advantage, but Cagliari’s resilience and ability to strike late could make the difference once again. Expect a match defined by defensive discipline rather than attacking flair.
Cremonese vs Cagliari prediction by BetMines:
The analysis points towards an Under 2.5 goals outcome with a 51% probability, reflecting both teams’ recent struggles in front of goal and their balanced defensive records.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cremonese
Cagliari
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1