The relegation battle in Serie A continues with Cremonese hosting Fiorentina at the Stadio Zini on Monday, March 16, 2026. The match kicks off at 20:45 and promises to be a tense encounter between two sides separated by just one point in the standings. Fiorentina currently sit 17th, while Cremonese are 18th, both desperate to secure vital points in their fight to avoid the drop.

Cremonese’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Cremonese enter this fixture in a deep crisis. Their 2-1 defeat away to Lecce on March 8 extended their winless streak to 14 league matches, with only four points collected in that period. The Grigiorossi have struggled to find the net, averaging just 0.4 goals per game in their last five matches while conceding 1.8. Over the course of the season, they have recorded 5 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding 1.4 per match.

At home, Cremonese’s offensive issues are even more evident. They have failed to score in their last four Serie A matches at the Zini, the longest such run in their top-flight history. However, they have managed to remain unbeaten in all eight home games against teams outside the top six, with two wins and six draws. This resilience could prove crucial in a match of such importance.

• At least one team failed to score at half time in 33 of Cremonese’s last 35 matches.


• Under 0.5 goals have been scored in 3 of their last 13 Serie A matches.


• In their last five games: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats.

Coach Davide Nicola faces several absences. Defender Giuseppe Pezzella is suspended after being sent off in Lecce, while Federico Baschirotto, Michele Collocolo, and Faris Moumbagna remain sidelined through injury. On a positive note, Filippo Terracciano returns from suspension, and Jamie Vardy has recovered from injury, though he may start on the bench. Federico Bonazzoli, who ended a 13-match goal drought last week, is expected to lead the attack.

Fiorentina’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Fiorentina have also endured a difficult campaign but showed signs of improvement recently. Their 2-1 home victory over Raków Częstochowa in the Conference League on March 12 provided a much-needed morale boost after a 3-0 loss to Udinese and a goalless draw with Parma in Serie A. The Viola have collected 5 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats this season, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.

On the road, Fiorentina have been inconsistent but competitive, winning three of their last five away fixtures in all competitions. They have also seen goals in the second half of nearly every recent match — over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in each of their last 15 away games and in 20 of their last 22 overall. This trend suggests that the visitors often grow into matches as they progress.

• Last five matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 11 consecutive Serie A away games.


• Win probabilities — Cremonese: 29%, Draw: 28%, Fiorentina: 43%.

Coach Paolo Vanoli continues to rotate his squad between domestic and European commitments. Moise Kean remains doubtful with a tibia issue, while Luca Lezzerini, Tariq Lamptey, and Manor Solomon are unavailable. However, Marin Pongracic returns from suspension, and key players such as Nicolò Fagioli, Dodo, and captain David de Gea are expected to feature after being rested in midweek.

Cremonese vs Fiorentina Tactical Overview and Prediction

This clash at the Zini is likely to be tight and tactical, with both sides aware that a defeat could have severe consequences for their survival hopes. Cremonese’s inability to convert chances and Fiorentina’s inconsistency in front of goal point toward a low-scoring affair. Historically, the Grigiorossi have never beaten the Viola in Serie A, with their last five head-to-head meetings producing four Fiorentina wins and one draw, and an average of just two goals per game.

With nine matches remaining after this one, every point counts. Fiorentina’s slightly better form and attacking depth give them a small edge, but Cremonese’s home resilience cannot be ignored. Expect a cautious approach from both teams, especially in the first half, with the visitors perhaps looking to strike late as they have done so often this season.

BetMines prediction for Cremonese vs Fiorentina:
The analysis points towards a Double Chance X2 + Under 3.5 goals outcome, reflecting Fiorentina’s 43% win probability and the 56% likelihood of an Under 2.5 goals match. A draw or narrow away win appears the most probable result in this crucial relegation battle.