Cremonese host Modena on Friday, August 28, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:30 at Stadio Giovanni Zini. This Serie B fixture brings together two teams that experienced contrasting opening results. Cremonese are seeking their first league points after losing 1-0 to Empoli, while Modena arrive following a 2-1 comeback victory away to Benevento. The early standings place the hosts 18th and the visitors second, adding immediate importance to a match in which both teams have clear reasons to pursue a positive result.

Cremonese entered the campaign among the sides expected to challenge for promotion, but their opening league performance exposed an attacking issue. They controlled plenty of possession against Empoli without turning it into enough meaningful scoring opportunities. Modena have started differently: after a 3-2 Coppa Italia defeat against Venezia, they responded by scoring twice at Benevento. However, the visitors have conceded in both of those games, creating an intriguing contest between Cremonese's need for greater attacking efficiency and Modena's productive but vulnerable approach.

Cremonese Recent Form and Key Statistics

Cremonese are looking for an immediate reaction after their 1-0 defeat against Empoli on August 22. That result left them with no wins, no draws and one loss in Serie B, alongside averages of 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Their main concern from the opening round was the lack of end product: extended spells on the ball rarely developed into clear chances, and the team finished the match without scoring.

The broader five-match record is more encouraging than the league opener alone. Cremonese have registered two wins, two draws and one defeat across their last five games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per match. Those numbers point to a side that has generally been difficult to break down but has not produced a high scoring average. Their Coppa Italia victory over Sampdoria also came before the setback at Empoli, although attention now returns to collecting the first Serie B points of the season.

Several trends reinforce the possibility of a controlled opening period. At least one team has failed to score before half-time in each of Cremonese's last 27 matches, and the same pattern has occurred in their last 20 home games. Moreover, three of their previous 11 home fixtures ended without a goal from either side. These statistics do not guarantee another slow start, but they underline how frequently Cremonese matches have contained limited first-half scoring.

Despite beginning the round in 18th place, the hosts have a favorable recent head-to-head record against Modena. The summary shows two Cremonese victories, three draws and no defeats, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The latest meeting ended 2-2 on January 26, 2025. That history offers encouragement, but the immediate priority is to improve the attacking output seen in the defeat at Empoli.

Modena Recent Form and Key Statistics

Modena began their Serie B campaign with a 2-1 away win over Benevento on August 22. They had to come from behind to secure the result, giving them one victory from one league match and early averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Combined with the two goals recorded in the 3-2 Coppa Italia loss to Venezia, their opening performances have demonstrated an ability to find the net consistently.

Across their last five matches, Modena have collected two wins, one draw and two defeats. Their averages in that sequence stand at 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game, suggesting greater balance than the two high-event competitive fixtures highlighted before this encounter. The visitors enter the second round in second place and will aim to maintain the momentum created by their successful league start.

The away statistics present a particularly interesting first-half contrast. More than 0.5 goals have been recorded before the interval in each of Modena's last 10 away matches, yet at least one team has failed to score in the first half in 29 of Modena's previous 31 Serie B games. Modena have also been behind at half-time in their last four away league fixtures. Together, these trends suggest that an opening goal has often arrived without both sides necessarily contributing before the break.

Longer-term league data nevertheless points away from an extremely high total. Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 26 of Modena's last 28 Serie B matches. The visitors may bring attacking intent after scoring twice in each of their first two competitive games mentioned here, but their wider record indicates that four-goal league contests have been uncommon.

Cremonese vs Modena Match Analysis

The result probabilities describe a closely balanced fixture. Cremonese have a 37% chance of winning, compared with 34% for Modena and 29% for the draw. The available decimal odds make the hosts shorter at 1.83, with the draw at 3.20 and a Modena victory at 4.33. Although Cremonese receive a narrow edge, the small difference in the calculated probabilities reflects the uncertainty created by their opening defeat and Modena's winning start.

The central question is whether Cremonese can turn possession into more dangerous opportunities. They need a stronger response in front of goal, but their recent five-match average remains below one goal per game. Modena have shown more immediate scoring power, although conceding three against Venezia and one against Benevento means their defensive record has not been flawless in the competitive matches described.

There are arguments for goals, particularly because Modena have scored four times across those two fixtures and the latest head-to-head meeting finished 2-2. However, the structured totals lean in the opposite direction: Under 2.5 goals carries a 59% probability, compared with 41% for Over 2.5. The Under 2.5 price of 1.57 is also shorter than the 2.35 available for the Over, while the probability of both teams scoring is 48%, compared with 52% for at least one side failing to score.

A competitive match is therefore expected, but the strongest overall statistical theme is moderation rather than an unrestricted scoring contest. Cremonese's low recent averages, their goalless opening round and Modena's sequence of 26 Under 3.5 results in 28 Serie B matches all support that reading. The hosts' historical advantage in this matchup must be weighed against Modena's stronger start, leaving a narrow scoreline as a coherent possibility.

Cremonese vs Modena prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 59% probability.