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Prediction published on May 8, 2026 1:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on May 8, 2026 1:02 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Cremonese and Pisa at the Stadio Zini carries very different motivations for the two sides. The home team are fighting desperately to avoid relegation, while the visitors have already been mathematically relegated and will only play for pride. With just three rounds left in the season, every point is crucial for Cremonese, who sit 18th in the table with 28 points, while Pisa occupy the bottom spot with 10 fewer. The hosts have not won in their last five league matches, and their survival hopes depend heavily on securing all three points in this encounter.
Cremonese come into this fixture after a 1-2 defeat against Lazio on May 4, extending a poor run that has seen them go five matches without a win. Their recent record shows 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with an average of 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Over the entire Serie A campaign, they have recorded 6 wins, 10 draws, and 19 defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
The team’s struggles in attack have been evident, with long stretches of games where at least one side failed to score before halftime — a pattern seen in each of their last 22 Serie A matches and in their last 20 home fixtures. Despite their difficulties, Cremonese have shown resilience at home, drawing seven times this season, the joint-highest number of home draws in the league alongside Fiorentina and Juventus. However, they have only managed two home victories, underlining their inconsistency at the Zini.
In terms of head-to-head history, Cremonese have lost their last three meetings with Pisa across Serie A and Serie B, including a 1-0 defeat in November 2025. Their last victory against the Tuscan side dates back several seasons, and they have often struggled to find the net in these encounters, averaging just 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
With relegation looming, Cremonese must rely on their key attackers to deliver. Bonazzoli, who has scored eight goals this season, could be decisive once again, especially as he looks to score in consecutive matches for the first time since April 2024. The team’s lineup is expected to feature Audero in goal, a backline of Terracciano, Bianchetti, Luperto, and Pezzella, with Floriani, Grassi, Maleh, and Zerbin in midfield, and Bonazzoli alongside Sanabria up front. Injuries remain a concern, with Baschirotto ruled out for the rest of the season, but the return of Vandeputte and Vardy offers some optimism.
Pisa approach this match with little more than pride at stake. Already relegated, they sit bottom of the Serie A table with just two wins, 12 draws, and 21 losses. Their last outing ended in a 1-2 defeat to Lecce on May 1, marking their sixth consecutive loss. Over their last five matches, Pisa have failed to collect a single point, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game — the same figures as Cremonese over the same period.
Their away record is particularly poor: Pisa have not won in their last 20 away matches overall, and in Serie A, they are winless in 17 consecutive away fixtures. Defensive frailties have been a major issue, with at least one goal conceded in 23 of their last 24 league games. Offensively, they have also struggled to make an impact, ranking among the lowest in Serie A for shots attempted.
For this match, Pisa are expected to field Semper in goal, with Bozhinov, Caracciolo, and Canestrelli in defense. The midfield should include Leris, Akinsanmiro, Aebischer, Vural, and Angori, while Moreo and Stojilkovic will lead the attack. Several players remain unavailable, including Tramoni, Marin, and Denoon, but coach Hiljemark may use this opportunity to give minutes to younger or less experienced players as the team prepares for life back in Serie B.
This match presents a clear contrast in motivation. Cremonese are fighting for survival, while Pisa have already accepted relegation. The home side’s defensive issues are offset by Pisa’s lack of attacking threat, suggesting a low-scoring contest. Historically, matches between these two have been tight, and given both teams’ poor scoring averages, another cautious affair could be on the cards.
Statistically, Cremonese have failed to win in 20 of their last 21 Serie A matches, while Pisa have gone 23 without a victory. Both teams have struggled to score consistently, and the “Both Teams To Score – No” market appears supported by recent trends. Pisa’s inability to win away from home further strengthens Cremonese’s chances, especially considering the hosts’ need for three points to keep their survival hopes alive.
Given the context and the data, Cremonese are expected to approach the game aggressively, pressing high and trying to exploit Pisa’s defensive weaknesses. Pisa, on the other hand, may sit deep and look to counterattack, but their lack of confidence and form could make it difficult to resist sustained pressure from the home side.
CREMONESE (4-4-2): Audero; Terracciano, Bianchetti, Luperto, Pezzella; Floriani, Grassi, Maleh, Zerbin; Bonazzoli, Sanabria.
PISA (3-5-2): Semper; Bozhinov, Caracciolo, Canestrelli; Leris, Akinsanmiro, Aebischer, Vural, Angori; Moreo, Stojilkovic.
Cremonese vs Pisa prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 38% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cremonese
Pisa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1