On Sunday, 23 November, at the Stadio Giovanni Zini, Matchday 12 of Serie A features Cremonese vs Roma, a clash between two teams looking for valuable points to keep pushing toward their respective seasonal targets. Cremonese, starting the campaign with the goal of avoiding relegation, is currently exceeding expectations: despite being newcomers, they sit mid-table with a comfortable cushion above the relegation zone. Although this is a challenging fixture, Davide Nicola’s team must avoid what would be a third consecutive defeat to prevent undermining the good work done so far. Roma are also surprisingly performing well: after eleven games, the Giallorossi are sitting at the top of the table, level with Inter. With the standings extremely tight—just two points separating the top four teams—Gian Piero Gasperini’s side must win to solidify their lead, which, taking advantage of the Milan vs Inter derby, could even become a solitary one by the end of the weekend.

Cremonese's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Cremonese are experiencing a delicate moment, coming off two consecutive defeats, the latest on 7 November in a crucial relegation showdown against Pisa, which ended 1-0. Despite recent setbacks, the “grigiorossi” remain in 11th place with 14 points, the result of 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, keeping a 7-point margin above the relegation zone.

Across the first eleven matchdays, Davide Nicola’s side showed solid attacking consistency, averaging 1.09 goals scored per game, while defensively maintaining good structure with 1.18 goals conceded on average.

Their performances at the Stadio Zini have been overall positive: in the last five home matches, Cremonese registered 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded.

Among the most anticipated players against Roma are Jamie Vardy and Federico Bonazzoli, both protagonists in recent weeks with two goals each in their last four matches.

Roma's Recent Form and Key Statistics

Before the international break, Roma secured their second consecutive victory across all competitions by defeating Udinese 2-0 thanks to goals from Pellegrini and Çelik. It was an important win that allowed the Giallorossi to reach Inter at the top of the table with 24 points, coming from 8 wins and 3 losses.

The standout department is undoubtedly the defence: Svilar and teammates are the least beaten in the league, with only 6 goals conceded in 11 matches and an impressive 7 clean sheets. Their attacking output, however, has been less convincing, with an average of 1.09 goals per game.

Gian Piero Gasperini’s side have also demonstrated remarkable solidity away from the Stadio Olimpico: Roma have won seven of their last eight away matches in all competitions and are currently the best away team in Serie A, having collected 12 points on the road (4 wins and 1 loss).

One of the most in-form players is undoubtedly Lorenzo Pellegrini, who has scored in each of the last two matches.

Cremonese vs Roma Prediction by BetMines

According to the BetMines algorithm, the prediction clearly leans toward the visitors: Roma have a 51% chance of winning, compared to Cremonese’s 23%, while a draw is estimated at 26% and is considered more likely than a home win.

Across the opening eleven matchdays, the Giallorossi have shown defensive solidity and strong efficiency in front of goal—factors that point toward a narrow victory. In fact, Roma have mostly won by minimal margins (1-0 or 2-1), securing victories by more than one goal only against Udinese and Verona.

Cremonese, for their part, especially at home, often display solid defensive organization. This further supports a prediction pointing to a match with fewer than three total goals and with at least one of the two teams—most likely the hosts—potentially failing to score.

Under 2.5 goals is one of the most recommended tips, estimated at 58% probability: a trend confirmed by the fact that 7 of the last 10 matches played by both Cremonese and Roma ended with this same outcome.

The option “at least one team not to score,” evaluated by BetMines at 53% probability, is also supported by precedents: it occurred in 7 of Roma’s last 10 matches across all competitions.

Probable Lineups Cremonese vs Roma

CREMONESE (3-5-2): Audero; Terracciano, Baschirotto, Bianchetti; Floriani Mussolini, Payero, Bondo, Vandeputte, Pezzella; Bonazzoli, Vardy. Coach: Nicola

ROMA (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Mancini, Ndicka, Hermoso; Wesley, Koné, Cristante, Celik; Soulé, Pellegrini; Ferguson. Coach: Gasperini