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Prediction published on Aug 15, 2026 7:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Coppa Italia | Modified on Aug 15, 2026 7:02 PM
Cremonese and Sampdoria meet in the first round of the Coppa Italia on Monday, 17 August 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:45. The match will be played at the Druso in Bolzano because the pitch in Cremona is unavailable. That change may be significant for Sampdoria, who have lost all three of their previous matches in Alto Adige. This cup tie also offers an early test between two sides aiming to play leading roles in the coming Serie B campaign. Cremonese are seeking an immediate response after last season’s relegation, while Sampdoria want to move on from two extremely difficult campaigns. With both squads still developing under new coaches, the contest is expected to provide a useful measure of their progress before the league season begins.
Cremonese enter the Coppa Italia fixture after recording a 1-0 victory against Hellas Verona on 7 August 2026. Their latest five-match sequence contains two wins, two draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Those figures point to a side that has generally remained competitive while maintaining a reasonable balance between attack and defence.
The club has appointed Giampaolo, who now faces one of his former teams. Cremonese have also strengthened the squad with Vogliacco, Gerli and Pontisso, players presented as having relevant experience at this level. The immediate ambition is to return to the top division, but this match will first reveal how quickly the group has absorbed the new coach’s ideas.
The first-half trends surrounding Cremonese are particularly striking. At least one team has failed to score before the interval in each of their last 25 matches. The same pattern has occurred in their last 20 home fixtures. Although this game is being moved away from their usual ground, those numbers still underline how often their matches begin cautiously. Three of Cremonese’s last ten home games have also finished with under 0.5 total goals, showing that scoreless outcomes have appeared on several occasions.
Cremonese are ranked first in the supplied Coppa Italia ranking, with Sampdoria second. However, the recent head-to-head record suggests that very little should separate the teams on the night. Their most recent meeting ended 0-0 on 1 May 2025. Across the provided head-to-head summary, Cremonese have two wins, three draws and no defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sampdoria also arrive following a positive result, having beaten Parma 2-0 on 9 August 2026. Over their latest five matches, they have collected two victories and one draw while suffering two defeats. Their scoring average stands at 1.0 goal per game, whereas they have conceded only 0.6 per match. The defensive figure is one of the clearest indications that Sampdoria can make this a demanding contest.
The club has attempted to rebuild after the two worst league campaigns in its history. Verschaeren, Lauritsen and Viti are among the new arrivals mentioned ahead of the season. The main uncertainty concerns Bernardo Corradi, who is taking charge of a team of this importance for the first time. This cup fixture therefore represents a substantial early examination for both the coach and his developing squad.
Sampdoria are also dealing with several absences, particularly among their more creative options. Insigne is specifically reported as unavailable, while the source additionally names Ravanelli and Begic when discussing the players missing from the group. These absences may limit the visitors’ attacking choices in a match where opportunities could already be scarce.
The statistical profile reinforces that possibility. Sampdoria’s last 14 matches have all produced under 3.5 total goals, as have their previous 13 away games. At least one team has failed to score in the first half in each of Sampdoria’s last 20 fixtures. Furthermore, 19 of their previous 20 matches have contained under 1.5 first-half goals, and that same threshold has been recorded in each of their last 13 away matches. In the Coppa Italia, their latest four games have also stayed under 7.5 corners.
The available evidence presents this as a finely balanced Coppa Italia match. The supplied win probabilities place Cremonese at 35%, the draw at 30% and Sampdoria at 34%. That narrow distribution reflects the lack of a clear advantage, particularly with Cremonese unable to play on their regular pitch and Sampdoria carrying a poor record from their previous visits to Alto Adige.
Both teams won their latest recorded fixture without conceding, and their recent defensive averages are stronger than their attacking output. Cremonese have shown slightly more scoring productivity across the last five matches, but Sampdoria have conceded less during the same period. Their summer performances were described as defensively solid without consistently delivering high-quality attacking football, while both groups are still adapting to new coaching ideas.
The goal-related indicators are similarly cautious. The supplied data gives 55% to Both Teams To Score – No and 55% to Under 2.5 goals. These figures are supported by Sampdoria’s long sequence of matches below 3.5 goals and by the extensive first-half scoring trends attached to both clubs. The 0-0 result in their most recent direct meeting provides another example of how tight this fixture can become.
The opening stages may therefore be especially important. Neither side will want to lose control while assessing its current level ahead of the league campaign. Cremonese have the marginal edge in the supplied win percentages and a positive recent head-to-head summary, but Sampdoria’s defensive numbers and 2-0 victory over Parma indicate that the visitors should remain competitive. With qualification at stake and both squads still incomplete, patience, concentration and the
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cremonese
Sampdoria
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0