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Prediction published on Sep 17, 2026 1:06 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Sep 17, 2026 1:06 PM
Cremonese welcome Virtus Entella to Stadio Giovanni Zini on September 19, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time. This fifth-round Serie B fixture brings together two teams with identical league records of one win, one draw and two defeats. Virtus Entella sit 14th, while Cremonese occupy 16th place, but both have collected four points. Their recent matches have produced plenty of attacking action: Cremonese drew 2-2 with Cesena after defeating Padova 3-1, while Virtus Entella followed a 2-2 draw against Vicenza with an emphatic 4-1 victory over Pisa. Those results create an intriguing contrast with the broader statistical outlook, which gives Cremonese the stronger chance of victory but also suggests that the contest may be more controlled than the teams' latest scorelines imply.
Cremonese began the season with ambitions of returning to Serie A, but their difficult opening led to Giampaolo's departure and the appointment of Pecchia. The change has been followed by a more productive period, with four points collected from the matches against Padova and Cesena. Cremonese scored three times in the first of those games and twice in the second, giving them five goals across their two latest fixtures.
The 2-2 draw with Cesena on September 12 demonstrated both sides of their current profile. Cremonese again carried a scoring threat, but they were unable to protect their advantage sufficiently to secure all three points. Across their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game.
Their Serie B figures provide further evidence of that imbalance. Cremonese average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in the competition, with one victory, one draw and two losses. The defensive average is a concern, although their recent attacking improvement gives them a platform from which to approach this home fixture.
The first-half numbers are particularly noteworthy. Although an early goal has been a consistent feature, both teams scoring before the interval has been extremely rare. This suggests that the opening breakthrough could carry significant importance, especially for a home side looking to build on two encouraging attacking performances.
Virtus Entella also recovered after a challenging start. Following two consecutive defeats, they drew 2-2 at home against Vicenza before producing their best result of the campaign, a 4-1 away win over Pisa on September 11. That victory supplied both valuable points and renewed confidence ahead of another away assignment.
Entella's recent numbers underline their attacking potential. Over the last five matches, they have one win, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Their Serie B averages are similar: 1.8 goals for and 1.5 against per game. Like Cremonese, therefore, they have combined promising attacking output with a defense that has regularly allowed opponents opportunities.
The visitors' second-half trend is one of the strongest patterns surrounding this match. At least one goal has been scored after the interval in each of their last ten away fixtures and in 19 of their last 20 matches overall. Within Serie B, the same outcome has occurred in 19 of their previous 21 games. Even if the contest begins cautiously, those figures indicate that the second period has consistently delivered scoring action in Virtus Entella matches.
The trip to Cremonese is nevertheless a demanding opportunity to confirm that improvement. Entella will be chasing another positive away result, but the win probabilities place them at 27%, compared with 44% for Cremonese and 29% for the draw.
The recent results point towards an open encounter. Cremonese's last two games produced eight total goals, while Virtus Entella's previous two delivered nine. Both teams have raised their attacking output after difficult starts, but neither has yet shown consistent defensive security. Their respective season averages also leave room for chances at both ends.
However, the wider statistical forecast introduces an important note of caution. The Under 2.5 goals probability is 61%, while Both Teams To Score is rated No at 56%. The most recent head-to-head meeting also ended 2-0 on March 16, 2021. Across the available head-to-head summary, Cremonese have two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded.
Rather than relying only on the high-scoring nature of the latest performances, the timing data offers the clearest recurring angle. Cremonese have seen a first-half goal in 11 consecutive matches and have led at the break in six of ten. Virtus Entella's strong second-half scoring pattern means the match could remain active throughout, but the home side's early-game sequence is especially consistent.
Cremonese hold the higher match-win probability and have home advantage, while Virtus Entella arrive after a convincing success in Pisa. With both clubs level on four points, the fixture provides an opportunity to move away from the lower part of the Serie B standings. The latest attacking displays promise chances, yet the overall projections advise against assuming that another exceptionally high total is guaranteed. An early breakthrough is the element most strongly supported by the supplied trends.
Cremonese vs Virtus Entella prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 75% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cremonese
Virtus Entella
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1