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Prediction published on Jun 5, 2026 11:02 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie B | Modified on Jun 5, 2026 11:02 AM
The upcoming clash between Criciúma and Londrina promises to be an intriguing encounter in the twelfth round of the Brazilian Serie B. Scheduled for Saturday morning, June 6, at the Estádio Heriberto Hülse, the match will see two sides in very different moments of form. The home team, nicknamed the Tigre, are unbeaten in seven matches and aiming to break into the top four, while the visitors, the Tubarão, are struggling near the bottom of the table and desperate to escape the relegation zone. With both teams having clear objectives, this fixture could play a decisive role in shaping their respective seasons.
Criciúma enter this round in eighth place in Serie B, showing consistency and resilience throughout the campaign. Their recent 1-2 away victory against Avaí on May 30 extended their unbeaten run to five matches, with one win and four draws. The team has been solid defensively, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per game over that stretch, while maintaining an average of 1.0 goal scored per match.
Across the season, Criciúma’s record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Their home form has been particularly reliable — at least one goal has been scored by Criciúma in each of their last 17 home matches in Serie B. Moreover, their matches tend to be tight affairs: under 3.5 total goals have been recorded in 25 of their last 27 league fixtures, highlighting a disciplined and balanced approach on both ends of the pitch.
With the support of their fans, Criciúma will look to capitalize on their strong home record and push closer to the promotion zone. A win here could potentially move them into the G4, making this a crucial fixture in their campaign.
Londrina find themselves in a difficult situation, currently sitting 18th in the Serie B standings. Their recent form has been poor, with four defeats in their last five matches. The most recent setback came in a 0-1 home loss to Vila Nova on May 31. Despite showing some attacking intent — averaging 1.0 goal scored per game — their defensive fragility has been costly, as they have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per match in their last five outings.
Over the course of the season, Londrina’s record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, with averages of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Their defensive issues have been a recurring theme, and the team has struggled to maintain clean sheets. Additionally, their matches often feature plenty of corner kicks, with over 7.5 corners taken in 25 of their last 26 games. Another notable trend is their lack of first-half goals — at least one team failed to score before halftime in 29 of their last 31 matches.
With their defense under pressure and confidence low, Londrina will need a major turnaround to take points from this trip. Their recent head-to-head record against Criciúma does not inspire optimism either, as they have failed to win any of their last five meetings, losing three and drawing two, with an average of 0.6 goals conceded per match.
This matchup brings together two sides with contrasting dynamics. Criciúma have been consistent and organized, relying on a compact defense and efficient attack, while Londrina have struggled to find stability, particularly at the back. The home side’s ability to score regularly at Heriberto Hülse, combined with Londrina’s defensive vulnerabilities, makes the Tigre the clear favorite heading into this encounter.
Historically, Criciúma have dominated this fixture, including a 2-0 victory in their last meeting on August 12, 2023. Given the current form and statistical trends, another low-scoring match seems likely, but the hosts are well-positioned to secure all three points. The visitors will need to tighten their defense and hope to exploit counterattacks if they are to challenge the home side’s momentum.
According to the latest probabilities, the home win is the most likely outcome, with Criciúma given a 54% chance of victory, the draw at 25%, and Londrina at 21%. The data also suggests a balanced goal market, with both teams to score rated at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
Criciúma vs Londrina prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Criciúma
Londrina
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1