The upcoming international friendly between Croatia and Slovenia promises to be an intriguing test for both sides as they wrap up their preparations ahead of the summer tournaments. The hosts will be eager to deliver a convincing performance in front of their supporters after a couple of disappointing results, while the visitors aim to end their campaign on a positive note. With both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities in recent outings, this clash could offer plenty of attacking moments and a few surprises along the way.

Croatia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Croatia approach this friendly under some pressure following a 0-2 defeat against Belgium on June 2, 2026. That result marked their second consecutive loss, a rare occurrence for a team that had previously gone nine matches unbeaten. In their last five fixtures, Croatia have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Their current Friendly International record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per game.

Despite the recent setbacks, Croatia’s attacking potential remains evident. They have found the net in most of their recent matches, though defensive lapses have cost them results. The home advantage could play a crucial role here, especially as they seek to restore confidence before heading into major competition. Historically, Croatia have enjoyed a slight edge in this matchup, winning two of the last four meetings against Slovenia and averaging 1.8 goals scored while conceding 1.0.

• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.8 | Average conceded: 1.8


• Last head-to-head: 1-1 (March 26, 2022)


• Win probability: 62%

For Croatia, this fixture is not only about the result but also about rediscovering rhythm and balance. Their supporters will expect a strong response, particularly from an attack that has shown flashes of brilliance but needs consistency. The challenge will be to tighten up defensively while maintaining their offensive flow.

Slovenia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Slovenia come into this encounter after a 1-1 draw against Cyprus on June 4, 2026. That result extended their modest run of form, with only one victory in their last five matches. Over that stretch, they have registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 1.0 goal and conceding 1.4 per game. In the Friendly International season, Slovenia’s record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average.

Defensively, Slovenia have struggled to maintain clean sheets, conceding in each of their last five outings. Their away form also raises questions, as Under 3.5 goals have been scored in their last 11 away matches, and Under 0.5 goals occurred in four of their last ten both home and away. This suggests a tendency toward low-scoring games, often decided by narrow margins.

• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.0 | Average conceded: 1.4


• Under 3.5 goals in last 11 away matches


• Under 0.5 goals in 4 of last 10 matches


• Win probability: 15%

Slovenia’s main challenge will be to contain Croatia’s attack while finding ways to exploit any defensive gaps. Their recent record shows resilience, with several draws indicating a team capable of staying competitive even when under pressure. However, their inability to keep clean sheets could once again prove costly against a side that tends to dominate possession and create chances at home.

Croatia vs Slovenia Tactical Overview

This friendly sets up as a balanced contest between two teams with contrasting motivations. Croatia will look to control the tempo, using their technical quality and home support to dictate play. Their focus will be on regaining confidence after consecutive defeats and ensuring a positive send-off before the World Cup. Meanwhile, Slovenia will aim to frustrate their hosts, relying on compact defending and quick transitions to create scoring opportunities.

Historically, encounters between these sides have been competitive, with both teams finding the net in six of their last ten meetings. That trend supports the expectation of another open game, especially given both teams’ recent defensive records. Croatia’s superior ranking and home advantage make them favorites, but Slovenia’s ability to grind out results means this could be closer than expected.

Key factors to watch include Croatia’s response to recent defeats, Slovenia’s defensive organization, and whether either side can maintain concentration for the full 90 minutes. If both teams play to their strengths, fans could be treated to an entertaining and evenly matched contest.

Prediction and Betting Insight

Based on the available data, this match appears likely to feature goals at both ends. Croatia’s attacking efficiency combined with Slovenia’s defensive inconsistencies point toward an open game. However, the visitors’ tendency for low-scoring away fixtures could limit the overall goal count. The historical head-to-head record also suggests a balanced affair, with draws and narrow wins being common outcomes.

Given the statistical trends and recent performances, the most probable scenario is that both teams will find the net but struggle to dominate. Croatia’s home advantage and higher win probability (62%) make them slight favorites, yet Slovenia’s resilience cannot be underestimated. This friendly could serve as a valuable test for both squads as they fine-tune their systems ahead of future competitions.

Croatia vs Slovenia prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 43% probability.