Tools
Crotone
3 - 1
FT
Audace Cerignola
Prediction published on Mar 27, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Mar 27, 2026 6:01 PM
The upcoming clash between Crotone and Audace Cerignola promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures in Serie C: Girone C. Both sides are fighting for playoff positions, with the hosts currently sitting sixth and the visitors just one point behind in seventh. This direct encounter could therefore play a decisive role in shaping the upper part of the table. Scheduled for Sunday, March 29 at 14:30, the match at the Scida Stadium will be crucial for both teams’ ambitions as they look to consolidate their positions in the promotion race.
Crotone approach this match after a 2-2 draw against Sorrento on March 22, a result that extended their solid run of form. Over their last five matches, they have collected two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their season record in Serie C: Girone C stands at 15 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. These numbers highlight a balanced side capable of both attacking fluency and defensive discipline.
Interestingly, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of Crotone’s last 15 league matches, suggesting that their games tend to open up after the break. However, corner statistics reveal a more cautious approach, with under 7.5 corners recorded in their last four fixtures. This combination of attacking consistency and measured play could be key in a match where small details might decide the outcome.
At home, Crotone have often shown attacking intent, but their defense has occasionally allowed opponents to find space. This could be a concern against a Cerignola side that has been particularly sharp in front of goal recently. Still, the hosts remain favorites according to the win probabilities, with a 49% chance of victory compared to 23% for the visitors.
Audace Cerignola come into this fixture on the back of a 1-0 win against SSC Giugliano on March 22, a result that reaffirmed their attacking potential and resilience. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their season record in Serie C: Girone C shows 14 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
These numbers underline a team that can be dangerous going forward but sometimes leaves gaps at the back. Their recent performances suggest a willingness to take risks, which could make this encounter particularly open. Cerignola’s ability to find the net consistently, even away from home, will be crucial if they are to challenge Crotone’s solid defense.
Historically, Cerignola have had mixed results against Crotone, with one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 2-0 in favor of Crotone on November 21, 2025. This time, however, the visitors arrive with renewed confidence and a sharper attacking edge, which could make them a real threat.
This match is expected to be a balanced and competitive affair. Crotone’s attacking rhythm and home advantage could give them an early edge, but Cerignola’s offensive momentum should not be underestimated. Both teams have shown a tendency to score regularly, yet their defensive records suggest that neither side is immune to conceding.
Given the recent trends, the match could feature goals at both ends, especially considering that Crotone’s games often come alive in the second half and Cerignola’s attack has been in fine form. The tactical battle may hinge on which side can better control midfield transitions and limit defensive lapses. A draw would not be a surprising outcome, but the home side’s consistency might tilt the balance slightly in their favor.
Statistically, the probabilities indicate a 49% chance of a Crotone win, 28% for a draw, and 23% for an Audace Cerignola victory. The over/under 2.5 goals market leans slightly towards the under (54%), while the Both Teams To Score market shows a near balance, with 46% for “Yes” and 54% for “No.”
Crotone vs Audace Cerignola prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score – No (54% probability).
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Crotone
Audace Cerignola
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
8
2
6
4