Crotone host Casarano on October 26 in a Serie C: Girone C match between two sides looking to halt difficult runs. Crotone are 19th after one win in ten league games, while 16th-placed Casarano have gone five matches without a victory. The visitors have recently appointed Luciano Zauri as coach in an attempt to change their course. At Stadio Ezio Scida, the question is whether either team can turn a fragile spell into a much-needed result.

Crotone's Recent Form and Key Stats

Crotone drew 0-0 with Bari 1908 on October 18, leaving them with one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five matches. Across that stretch, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their league record is one win, four draws and five losses, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded. The scoreless draw was a departure from their recent five-match scoring average, but it also showed that they can keep opponents out.

The club have also been handed a six-point penalty for administrative irregularities. Even allowing for that deduction, Crotone's results underline the scale of their challenge. There is, however, a notable pattern in their matches: at least one second-half goal has been scored by either side in 30 of Crotone's last 33 games, including 27 of their last 30 in Serie C: Girone C. That statistic concerns total goals after the break, not goals scored by Crotone alone.

For the hosts, the immediate task is to build on the clean sheet against Bari without repeating the failure to score. Their recent average of 1.4 goals per game suggests more attacking output than their season figure of 1.0, although the 0-0 result offers a reminder that those chances do not always translate into goals.

Casarano's Recent Form and Key Stats

Casarano arrive after a 5-2 defeat to Cavese on October 18. They have drawn twice and lost three times in their last five matches, scoring an average of just 0.6 goals while conceding 1.8 per game. Their overall Girone C record is three wins, two draws and five defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 allowed. The gap between their season and recent scoring figures helps explain the urgency behind the change in coach.

Luciano Zauri, previously coach of Campobasso, has been appointed to try to lift a Casarano side whose season has fallen short of its stated ambitions. He takes charge with the visitors still searching for a win after five matches. Their latest result showed they can score twice in a game, but conceding five to Cavese also brought their defensive problems sharply into focus.

Casarano's away fixtures have consistently featured action after half-time: at least one goal has been scored by either team in the second half of each of their last 15 away league matches. The same has happened in 25 of their last 27 Girone C games overall. Another striking figure concerns the interval rather than the final score: Casarano have avoided being behind at half-time in 21 of their last 22 league matches. That resilience before the break has not prevented their recent run without a win.

Crotone vs Casarano Match Analysis

Both teams have reasons to see this fixture as an opportunity, but neither brings convincing recent form. Crotone have won once in their last five matches; Casarano have not won any of theirs. The hosts' clean sheet against Bari contrasts with their average of 1.6 goals conceded over that five-game period, while the visitors' 5-2 loss to Cavese leaves defensive improvement high on their agenda.

The scoring trends also make the timing of goals worth watching. Both clubs have frequently been involved in matches with second-half goals, and Casarano's record of avoiding a half-time deficit suggests this contest need not be settled early. Those figures do not identify which side will score after the interval, but they do show how often their games have changed on the scoreboard later on.

Recent results provide competing signals about the likely goal total. Crotone's last match finished 0-0, whereas Casarano's ended 5-2. Across their respective last five games, Crotone's matches have featured a combined average of 3.0 goals and Casarano's 2.4. With both sides conceding 1.8 goals per game or more in one of the available form samples, there is a case for chances at either end, even though Casarano's recent scoring average calls for caution. The clearest route to a more open game is for one team to break through and force the other to respond.

Crotone vs Casarano prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 51% probability.