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Prediction published on Oct 16, 2025 1:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Oct 16, 2025 1:42 PM
The Serie C Group C campaign reaches its tenth round with an intriguing clash between Crotone and Monopoli, scheduled for Saturday, October 18, at the Stadio Ezio Scida in Calabria. Kick-off is set for 14:30 local time. This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting ambitions but a shared need for points: Crotone are chasing promotion, while Monopoli aim to stay clear of the lower end of the table. The hosts enter the match as clear favorites, both statistically and according to the latest odds, yet the visitors will be eager to cause an upset and reignite their campaign.
Crotone approach this encounter in excellent form, sitting fifth in the Serie C Group C standings with 17 points. They are just one point behind the third-placed duo of Catania and Casarano, and three points adrift of second-placed Benevento. The Calabrian side’s recent performances have been impressive, highlighted by a commanding 3-0 away win over Foggia on October 11. Over their last five matches, they have recorded four wins and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding only 0.4.
Across the season, Crotone’s record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Their consistency is further underlined by the fact that they have avoided defeat at half-time in 29 of their last 32 league games. Moreover, their matches tend to come alive after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 19 of their last 21 fixtures. These numbers reflect a team that grows stronger as the game progresses, combining defensive solidity with attacking efficiency.
At home, Crotone have turned the Scida into a fortress, and their head-to-head record against Monopoli reinforces their dominance: four wins and one draw in their last five meetings, with an average of 2.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-0 victory for Crotone on February 23, 2025. With promotion ambitions still alive, another win here would keep them firmly in the race for the top spots.
Monopoli currently occupy 10th place in the Serie C Group C table with 12 points. Their campaign has been inconsistent, and they come into this match following a narrow 0-1 home defeat to Salernitana on October 12. Over their last five games, the Puglian side have managed just one win, two draws, and two losses, scoring an average of 0.4 goals while conceding 0.8. These figures highlight their main issue: a lack of attacking productivity.
Across the season, Monopoli’s record reads 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their away form has been particularly modest, and they have struggled to find the net on their travels, with under 0.5 goals scored in four of their last 17 away matches. In addition, their games tend to produce few corners, with under 10.5 corners recorded in each of their last 17 league fixtures and under 9.5 corners in the most recent 12. These trends suggest a cautious approach and limited attacking threat, especially against stronger opponents.
Despite these challenges, Monopoli remain a disciplined side capable of frustrating opponents. Their defensive organization has kept them competitive in tight matches, but to get a result in Calabria, they will need to rediscover their scoring touch and show greater efficiency in the final third.
This match appears to be a classic battle between a promotion contender and a mid-table side fighting for stability. Crotone’s attacking rhythm and defensive balance make them the clear favorites, especially at home, where they have been dominant. Their ability to control games and strike decisively after half-time could once again prove decisive. On the other hand, Monopoli’s recent struggles in front of goal and their tendency to play low-scoring matches suggest they may focus on containment rather than open play.
Historically, encounters between these two teams have favored Crotone, and the current form points in the same direction. The hosts’ superior firepower, combined with Monopoli’s limited offensive output, makes a home win the most plausible outcome. However, given Monopoli’s defensive discipline, the match could remain tight for long periods before Crotone’s quality eventually prevails.
Crotone vs Monopoli prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Home Win (1) with a 50% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 29%, while an Away Win (2) is estimated at 21%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Crotone
Monopoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
6
4
10
0
4.5
8
2
10
0