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Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6:00 PM
August 29, 2026
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Prediction published on Aug 27, 2026 4:05 PM by Dario in Mexico - Liga de Expansión MX | Modified on Aug 27, 2026 4:05 PM
Cruz Azul Hidalgo welcome Tepatitlán de Morelos on August 29, 2026, in the sixth round of the Liga de Expansión MX Apertura. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 local time at the Estadio 10 de Diciembre in Jasso. This fixture will mark the first meeting between the two teams, adding historical significance to a contest involving two sides that have endured difficult starts to the competition. Cruz Azul Hidalgo are 14th and still searching for their first victory, while Tepatitlán de Morelos sit 15th despite recording one win. With only one place separating them, the match represents an important opportunity for both clubs to improve their early records and move away from the lower end of the Liga de Expansión MX rankings.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo have returned to the Liga de Expansión MX without managing to secure a victory in their opening five league matches. Their season record currently stands at zero wins, three draws and two defeats, showing that they have been competitive enough to avoid defeat on several occasions but have not yet found the decisive performance required to collect all three points.
The home side enter this fixture after a 1-1 draw against CA La Paz on August 22. That result was their third draw in five matches and continued a run in which victories have remained out of reach. Across their last five games, Cruz Azul Hidalgo have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Those figures underline the two main challenges facing the team: increasing their attacking output while reducing the number of opportunities conceded at the opposite end.
Three draws from five league fixtures indicate that Cruz Azul Hidalgo have regularly stayed within reach of their opponents. However, their scoring average means there has often been little margin for error. When a team averages fewer than one goal per match, conceding can quickly make the task of winning significantly more difficult. The meeting with another struggling side therefore appears to be a valuable chance for the hosts to turn competitive displays into their first success of the Apertura campaign.
Tepatitlán de Morelos have also experienced a disappointing beginning to the tournament. Their five league matches have produced one win and four defeats, leaving them 15th in the competition. The contrast with their status as champions two tournaments ago makes the current sequence particularly notable, although their latest result finally provided a positive response.
On August 21, Tepatitlán de Morelos defeated Tlaxcala 3-2. It was their first victory of the season and their only positive result across the opening five games. Scoring three times offered encouragement for a team averaging just 0.8 goals per match, but conceding twice also reflected the defensive problems visible in their wider record.
The visitors have allowed an average of 2.4 goals per game, one goal more than Cruz Azul Hidalgo’s corresponding figure. With four defeats already recorded, defensive vulnerability has been the clearest feature of their start. The win over Tlaxcala may provide momentum, yet Tepatitlán de Morelos still need to show that the result can be followed by greater consistency.
Their away statistics offer an additional point of interest. Three of Tepatitlán de Morelos’ last 12 away matches in the Liga de Expansión MX finished with under 0.5 total goals. That means scoreless contests have occurred in part of their recent league record on the road, although their current season average of 2.4 goals conceded presents a very different concern ahead of this trip.
The first competitive encounter between Cruz Azul Hidalgo and Tepatitlán de Morelos brings together teams separated by only one ranking position. Neither side can point to a convincing overall run: the hosts are winless but have drawn three times, while the visitors have lost four of five despite arriving after a 3-2 victory.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo’s comparatively lower average of goals conceded may give them a more stable foundation, especially against an opponent scoring only 0.8 goals per game. At the same time, their own average of 0.6 goals shows why three of their five results have ended level rather than in victory. Finding a more reliable attacking edge will be essential if they are to capitalize on Tepatitlán de Morelos’ defensive record.
For the visitors, the main question is whether the win over Tlaxcala represents the beginning of an improvement. Their three-goal performance was stronger than their season scoring average, but the two goals conceded kept their defensive concerns in focus. Having allowed 2.4 goals per match across the campaign, Tepatitlán de Morelos travel to Jasso needing a more controlled display if they are to record consecutive positive results.
The match context leaves both teams with a clear incentive to pursue victory. Cruz Azul Hidalgo are seeking their first win since returning to the competition, whereas Tepatitlán de Morelos have an opportunity to build on their only success of the Apertura. The hosts’ tendency to draw and the visitors’ high defeat count create an intriguing contrast, while the defensive averages suggest that mistakes could have a major influence on the outcome. With no previous meeting available as a reference, this historic Liga de Expansión MX fixture will be shaped entirely by how the two struggling sides respond to their respective early-season problems.
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This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
8
2
6
4
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2