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Cruz Azul vs Puebla Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga MX 18-01-2026

Cruz Azul

1 - 0

FT

Puebla

Estadio Azteca
Mario Terrazas Chávez
light rain 13.72 °C

Prediction published on Jan 16, 2026 4:03 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Jan 16, 2026 4:03 AM

The upcoming Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Puebla promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides that arrive with renewed confidence after recent victories. The match will take place at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc, where both teams will look to build on their positive momentum from the previous round. Cruz Azul ended a five-game winless streak with a convincing 2-0 win over Atlas, while Puebla also celebrated a 2-1 triumph against Mazatlán. With both clubs sitting on three points early in the season, this fixture could be crucial in setting the tone for their campaigns.


Cruz Azul’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Cruz Azul enter this match in fifth place in the Liga MX standings, having collected three points from their first two games. Their recent 2-0 victory over Atlas was a much-needed boost after a difficult run of results. According to the latest data, the Celestes have been consistent at home, remaining unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 home matches in the league. They have also scored at least one goal in 19 of those fixtures, underlining their attacking reliability when playing in front of their supporters.


Across their last five matches in all competitions, Cruz Azul have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the course of the current Liga MX season, their overall record stands at 12 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. These numbers highlight a balanced side capable of both defending solidly and creating chances in attack.


Among the standout performers for Cruz Azul are José Paradela, who has already found the net this season and maintains an impressive 79% passing accuracy, and Agustín Palavecino, who also opened his scoring account early in the campaign. Another key figure is Gabriel Fernández, who combines his goal-scoring ability with defensive contribution, averaging 1.5 ball recoveries per game. These players have been instrumental in helping the team regain confidence after a challenging start.


Puebla’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Puebla come into this fixture sitting in 11th place, also with three points from two matches. Their 2-1 win over Mazatlán was a positive response after an opening defeat, but consistency remains a concern. The team’s recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Defensively, Puebla have struggled, conceding at least one goal in each of their last 13 Liga MX games, a trend that could prove costly against a side as efficient as Cruz Azul.


In terms of season-long performance, Puebla’s record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match. Their away form has also been problematic, as they have lost at half time in 9 of their last 14 away fixtures. Despite these challenges, there are individual bright spots within the squad. Edgar Guerra has been one of the most effective players, contributing a goal and maintaining a 76% pass completion rate, while goalkeeper Ricardo Gutiérrez has impressed with a 78% save success rate per match, often keeping his team competitive even under pressure.


Historically, Puebla have found it difficult to overcome Cruz Azul. In their last five head-to-head meetings, the Celestes have won three times, drawn once, and lost only once, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game while conceding just 0.8. The most recent encounter ended in a 0-3 victory for Cruz Azul, a result that will surely boost their confidence heading into this new chapter of the rivalry.


Match Analysis and Tactical Overview


This fixture presents an interesting dynamic, as Cruz Azul will technically play as the home side but at Puebla’s stadium, the Estadio Cuauhtémoc. This neutralizes some of the traditional home advantage, yet the Celestes’ strong record in recent meetings suggests they remain the favorites. Their ability to control possession and create scoring opportunities has been evident, particularly when their midfielders dictate the tempo and their forwards capitalize on defensive lapses.


Puebla, on the other hand, will need to tighten their defensive structure if they hope to contain Cruz Azul’s attacking trio. Their tendency to concede early goals and lose focus before halftime has been a recurring issue, and facing a team that rarely loses at halftime could make the task even more difficult. However, if Puebla can exploit transitions and make the most of set pieces, they might find a way to challenge the visitors’ backline.


Given the current form and statistical trends, this match is expected to feature attacking football from both sides, but Cruz Azul’s superior balance between offense and defense could make the difference. Their recent win over Atlas has restored confidence, and their historical dominance over Puebla further strengthens their case for another positive result.


BetMines Prediction: Cruz Azul vs Puebla


Cruz Azul vs Puebla prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 58% probability.
The data supports a likely victory for Cruz Azul, who have shown greater consistency and efficiency in front of goal. While Puebla’s attacking potential cannot be ignored, their defensive vulnerabilities and poor away record make them the underdogs in this encounter. Expect Cruz Azul to extend their unbeaten run and continue climbing the Liga MX standings.

Cruz Azul vs Puebla - Predictions

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Cruz Azul vs Puebla: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Cruz Azul

Puebla

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Cruz Azul and Puebla in Liga MX

Apertura - Ranking

Team

3

Cruz Azul

17

10

5

2

32:20

35

2.06

W
D
W
W
L
18

Puebla

17

3

3

11

21:42

12

0.71

W
L
D
L
W
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs

Clausura - Ranking

Team

3

Cruz Azul

17

9

6

2

31:18

33

1.94

L
D
D
D
W
17

Puebla

17

3

4

10

13:26

13

0.76

D
L
L
L
L
Final Series

Who will win ?

Cruz Azul vs Puebla: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Cruz Azul vs Puebla be played?
The Liga MX match between Cruz Azul and Puebla will be played on January 18, 2026 at 03:05.
Where will Cruz Azul vs Puebla be played?
The match between Cruz Azul and Puebla will be played at Estadio Azteca, Mexico City - Mexico
Who will referee Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
The referee for the match will be Mario Terrazas Chávez.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Cruz Azul vs Puebla in the Liga MX?
The odds are: Cruz Azul to win 1.55, draw 4.33, Puebla to win 5.25.
What are the betting odds for Cruz Azul vs Puebla for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga MX?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.75 and Under 2.5 at 2.05.
Will both Cruz Azul and Puebla score in the Liga MX?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for Cruz Azul vs Puebla in the Liga MX?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Cruz Azul and Puebla?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul and Puebla, Cruz Azul won 3 times, Puebla won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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