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Cruzeiro
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Prediction published on Jul 24, 2026 7:03 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Jul 24, 2026 7:03 PM
Cruzeiro and Botafogo meet on Sunday, July 26, at 16:00 Brasília time in the 20th round of the Brazilian Serie A, the opening matchday of the second half of the campaign. The fixture takes place at the Mineirão in Belo Horizonte with the sides separated by only one point: Cruzeiro are eighth with 27 points, while Botafogo occupy ninth place. Both returned from the World Cup break with positive results, although the hosts arrive in the stronger run of form. Cruzeiro defeated Internacional 2-1 away, whereas Botafogo followed a 2-1 victory over Santos with a goalless draw against Vitória. With the standings so tight, this encounter offers both teams an opportunity to strengthen their position and maintain contact with the places above them.
Cruzeiro returned to Serie A action with an important 2-1 victory away to Internacional on July 23. Kaio Jorge and Matheus Pereira scored the goals that secured the three points. That result extended the club's unbeaten league sequence to five matches, during which it has collected four wins and one draw. Across those five games, Cruzeiro have averaged 2.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, underlining a clear improvement at both ends of the pitch.
The hosts have registered seven wins, six draws and six defeats in Serie A this season. Their broader averages stand at 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, so the latest defensive progress represents a meaningful change from their overall campaign numbers. Cruzeiro have not allowed more than one goal in any of their nine most recent matches, keeping their opponents scoreless in three of those contests.
Home form is another positive factor. Cruzeiro are unbeaten in their last four matches on their own ground, recording two victories and two draws, and they have suffered only one defeat across their previous seven home fixtures. However, the squad enters this game with several absences. Gerson and Matheus Pereira are suspended after receiving their third yellow cards against Internacional. Gabriel Pec sustained a fracture on his Cruzeiro debut and requires surgery, while Cássio, Kauã Prates and Keny Arroyo are also unavailable through injury. With changes required, Kaio Jorge remains the principal attacking reference after scoring in the latest victory.
Botafogo have played twice since the calendar resumed. Goals from Lucas Emanuel and Kadir Barría delivered a 2-1 home win over Santos, but the team could not build on that result when facing Vitória in a postponed fourth-round fixture. The match ended 0-0 on July 23, leaving Botafogo one point behind Cruzeiro and preventing them from moving above their next opponents before this direct meeting.
The visitors have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five matches. Over that sequence, they averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their complete Serie A record is seven wins, five draws and seven defeats, with averages of 1.7 goals both scored and conceded. The attacking output has been significant, producing 33 goals in 19 league games, but the 32 goals allowed during the first half of the campaign show why defensive stability remains an important issue.
Botafogo's away results create an additional challenge, as the team have gone three Brasileirão road matches without a victory. At the same time, their away games have repeatedly produced scoring action: over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of Botafogo's last 14 away fixtures. There has also been at least one second-half goal in their previous ten Serie A away matches and in 22 of their last 24 matches overall.
There are no suspension-related absences for the visitors, and Ferraresi is available again after completing a ban. The injury list contains Allan, Júnior Santos, Kaio Pantaleão and Nathan Fernandes. Danilo featured in the previous match after being with Brazil at the World Cup and is expected to be an option from the bench.
Cruzeiro: Otávio; Fagner, Fabrício Bruno, Jonathan Jesus, Rojas; Romero, Matheus Henrique; Bruno Rodrigues, Lucas Silva, Wanderson; Kaio Jorge.
Coach: Arthur Jorge.
Botafogo: Warleson; Vitinho, Ferraresi, Marçal, Alex Telles; Huguinho, Medina, Montoro; Villalba, Arthur Cabral, Matheus Martins.
Coach: Franclim Carvalho.
The recent numbers give Cruzeiro a stronger platform entering this match. Their five-game unbeaten run, four victories during that period and solid home sequence indicate growing consistency. The 2-1 success at Internacional also demonstrated their ability to secure points away from home. Nevertheless, the suspensions of Gerson and Matheus Pereira remove two important options, while the wider injury list means the hosts must adjust the team that produced their latest result.
Botafogo bring a more productive season-long attacking average, but their scoring strength has been balanced by an equally high rate of goals conceded. The visitors must also improve on a three-match winless league run away from home. Their long sequence of road fixtures with at least two total goals suggests that this contest could open up, particularly after the interval, where Botaf
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
10
0