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Cruzeiro
12:30 AM
August 13, 2026
Flamengo
Prediction published on Aug 11, 2026 4:03 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on Aug 11, 2026 4:03 AM
The Copa Libertadores round of 16 continues on August 13, 2026, with an all-Brazilian contest between Cruzeiro and Flamengo. Both teams approach the first knockout meeting in encouraging form after recording domestic victories on August 9. Cruzeiro defeated Mirassol 3-1, while Flamengo overcame Vitória 2-0. The hosts will look to repeat their success from 2018, when they eliminated Flamengo at the same stage of this competition. However, the visitors have enjoyed the stronger recent head-to-head record, winning three of the last five meetings, with Cruzeiro claiming one victory and the other match ending level. With the two sides listed first and second in the supplied Copa Libertadores ranking, this fixture brings together two teams with impressive continental numbers and plenty of attacking quality.
Cruzeiro enter this Copa Libertadores clash with three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five matches. During that sequence, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game, highlighting the defensive stability behind their positive run. Their latest outing produced a convincing 3-1 victory over Mirassol, with João Marcelo, Kaio Jorge and Wesley providing the goals.
The home side have also won six of their previous ten matches while suffering only two defeats. Their Copa Libertadores campaign has produced three wins, two draws and one loss, alongside averages of 1.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Those figures suggest Cruzeiro have generally been difficult to break down, although they now face an opponent averaging more than two goals per match in this tournament.
Cruzeiro will have to manage the absences of Fágner and Lucas Romero. That places additional responsibility on Matheus Pereira, who has scored four times in this Copa Libertadores and remains an important part of the hosts’ attacking threat. Kaio Jorge is another central figure after scoring against Mirassol, and his ability to make the most of the chances Cruzeiro create could be decisive. The hosts have enough attacking resources to trouble Flamengo, but their strongest foundation may once again be a defence that has conceded an average of just half a goal per continental match.
Flamengo arrive unbeaten across their last five matches, registering three victories and two draws. Their attacking output over that spell has been particularly notable, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per game, while they have conceded 0.8. The 2-0 victory over Vitória in their most recent fixture continued that momentum, with Erick Pulgar and Bruno Henrique finding the net.
The visitors have won seven of their last ten matches and have also put together strong Copa Libertadores numbers. Their tournament record stands at four wins, one draw and no defeats, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. This combination of consistent scoring and defensive control gives Flamengo a solid platform for the knockout tie. They have also won four of their last five visits to Cruzeiro, although the latest overall meeting finished 2-0 on March 12, 2026.
Several players are identified as possible sources of danger. Bruno Henrique brings speed and experience, while De Arrascaeta has contributed two goals and one assist in the tournament. Pedro has recorded 14 goals in 26 appearances across the Copa Libertadores and Brasileirao this season, including 12 goals from 21 league outings. Lucas Paquetá has added two continental goals. Flamengo therefore possess multiple routes to goal, even if their away matches in this competition have often remained controlled rather than high-scoring.
The recent form of both sides points toward a competitive and closely balanced round-of-16 encounter. Cruzeiro have been defensively efficient and will be encouraged by their 3-1 win over Mirassol. Flamengo, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last five and have scored at a much higher average during that period. The visitors’ Copa Libertadores record is also stronger, but Cruzeiro’s low concession rate indicates that clear opportunities may be difficult to create.
The tournament trends surrounding Flamengo provide an important counterweight to the attacking names involved. Their last 12 away matches in the Copa Libertadores have finished under 2.5 goals, while each of their last 14 away fixtures in the competition has remained under 3.5. Across all venues, 22 of Flamengo’s previous 23 Libertadores matches have also produced fewer than four goals. In addition, their last 12 continental away games have featured under 1.5 goals before half-time, suggesting that the opening period may be cautious and measured.
Second-half action has nevertheless been a regular feature of Flamengo’s matches. At least one goal has been scored after the interval in each of their last 21 Copa Libertadores fixtures and in their last ten away games in the tournament. At the same time, at least one of the teams failed to score in the second half of Flamengo’s previous 27 continental matches. These patterns indicate that the contest could open up after the break without necessarily becoming a high-scoring affair.
The head-to-head summary gives Flamengo three wins from the last five meetings, compared with one Cruzeiro victory and one draw. Over those games, Cruzeiro averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Even so, the hosts’ present defensive numbers and attacking options through Matheus Pereira and Kaio Jorge should ensure that Flamengo cannot expect a straightforward evening. The likely shape of the contest is one of fine margins: Cruzeiro will seek to use their current confidence and defensive discipline, while Flamengo will rely on their unbeaten continental form, greater recent scoring average and range of attacking contributors.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1