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Prediction published on Aug 7, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Aug 7, 2026 6:02 PM
Cruzeiro and Mirassol meet in the 22nd round of the Brazilian Serie A on Sunday, August 9, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 11:00 Brasília time at the Mineirão in Belo Horizonte. The hosts enter the fixture in seventh place, while the visitors are 14th. Their previous meeting on February 11 ended in a 2-2 draw after Mirassol scored first, fell behind and recovered to equalise in the 40th minute of the second half. Cruzeiro now return home following encouraging results in two competitions, but Mirassol also bring a three-match unbeaten league sequence into a contest carrying important points for both sides.
Cruzeiro have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches. During that sequence, they averaged 1.0 goal scored and only 0.4 conceded per game, highlighting a level of defensive consistency that could be important against Mirassol. Their latest appearance ended in a 2-0 victory over Chapecoense on August 5, a result that secured qualification for the Copa do Brasil quarter-finals.
In Serie A, Cruzeiro have lost only one of their last seven games. Their most recent league fixture produced a 1-0 away victory over Coritiba, helping them reach seventh place. The hosts have a season record of eight wins, six draws and seven defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Although those full-season numbers suggest that their campaign has not always been straightforward, the recent return of just 0.4 goals conceded per match points to a more secure spell.
There are several availability issues for the home side. Matheus Henrique is suspended after receiving his third yellow card in the previous round, while Gabriel Pec, Kauã Prates, Luis Sinisterra and Villarreal are listed as injured. In attack, Matheus Pereira and Kaio Jorge have each scored five Serie A goals. At least one of the pair found the net in each of Cruzeiro's last six matches in which the team scored, making their contribution one of the central themes ahead of this fixture.
Mirassol approach the match after a 1-0 defeat to Grêmio on August 5, which confirmed a 2-1 aggregate elimination from the Copa do Brasil. The first game finished 1-1 before Mirassol lost the return fixture in Porto Alegre. Their league form has been more positive, however, with two wins and one draw across their last three Serie A matches.
Looking at all competitions, the visitors have collected two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five outings. They averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in that period. Their overall Serie A record stands at six victories, five draws and nine losses, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 allowed per match. Those results place Mirassol 14th in the competition.
The away numbers provide a significant test for the visitors. Mirassol have not won in four consecutive away matches across the season, registering three defeats and one draw, and they have conceded at least once in each of their last 15 away fixtures. Their defensive difficulties extend to the league as a whole, with at least one goal conceded in 20 of their previous 21 Serie A games. At the same time, 21 of Mirassol's last 22 matches finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals, indicating that their games have generally remained within a controlled scoring range.
Negueba remains unavailable during his recovery from a multiligament injury suffered in April, while José Aldo is another player in the medical department. Goalkeeper Walter missed the Copa do Brasil defeat to Grêmio after suffering a thigh issue and is considered doubtful for this match.
The recent numbers give Cruzeiro a strong platform for this home fixture. Their three wins in five matches have been accompanied by a low average of 0.4 goals conceded, and successive victories over Coritiba and Chapecoense mean they arrive with momentum from both Serie A and the Copa do Brasil. Their ability to limit opponents may be particularly valuable against a Mirassol side that has failed to win on its last four trips.
Mirassol should not be dismissed purely because of their cup elimination. Their three-game unbeaten run in Serie A and average of 1.2 goals across the last five matches show that they can compete, while the reverse meeting demonstrated their capacity to recover after falling behind. Cruzeiro also failed to win that 2-2 encounter, and the head-to-head summary stands at one Cruzeiro victory and two draws, with the home side averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in those meetings.
Nevertheless, Mirassol's sequence of conceding in 15 straight away games offers Cruzeiro a clear opportunity. The hosts will look to exploit that vulnerability while maintaining the defensive standards shown in their recent results. With Mirassol's broader trend of 21 under-3.5-goal matches from the last 22, the available statistics point toward a game in which control and efficiency may be more decisive than a high volume of scoring.
Cruzeiro: Otávio; Fágner, Fabrício Bruno, Jonathan Jesus, Rojas; Lucas Romero, Gerson; Arroyo, Matheus Pereira, Felipe Morais; Kaio Jorge.
Coach: Artur Jorge.
Mirassol: Walter or Alex Muralha; Igor Formiga, João Victor, Gabriel Knesowitsch, Reinaldo; Neto Moura, Denílson, Eduardo; Fernandinho, Bruno Santos, Edson Carioca.
Coach: Rafael Guanaes.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0