The final day of the Europa League group stage brings an intriguing clash between Crvena Zvezda and Celta de Vigo. Both sides have already secured qualification for the next round, but this encounter still carries significant weight. A victory could propel either team into the top eight, allowing them to skip two additional knockout fixtures. With both clubs eager to finish strong, fans can expect a competitive and entertaining match in Belgrade.

Crvena Zvezda’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Crvena Zvezda have been one of the most consistent performers in this Europa League campaign. After a slow start that included a draw and two defeats in their opening three matches, the Serbian side found their rhythm, winning four consecutive games to climb to 11th in the overall ranking. Their latest success came with a narrow 0-1 victory over Malmö FF on January 22, 2026.

Defensive discipline has been the cornerstone of Zvezda’s recent success. They have conceded an average of just 0.7 goals per game in the competition and only 0.2 across their last five matches. Offensively, they average 0.9 goals per match, often relying on efficiency rather than volume of chances. The team’s ability to maintain focus throughout matches is evident — they have not lost at half time in their last 15 fixtures and have led at the break in 11 of their last 18 home games.

Another notable trend is their second-half productivity. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 12 home matches, suggesting that Zvezda often grow stronger as the game progresses. With four wins, one draw, and two losses in this Europa League campaign, the hosts will look to extend their unbeaten run and secure a top-eight finish.

Celta de Vigo’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Celta de Vigo have also impressed in this season’s Europa League, sitting just three places behind their Serbian opponents in 14th. The Spanish side have recorded four wins and three defeats, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding 1.4. Their attacking prowess has been evident throughout the competition, with victories over strong opponents such as PAOK, Nice, Dinamo, and Lille.

Despite a recent 3-1 loss to Real Sociedad on January 25, 2026, Celta’s overall form remains strong, with four wins in their last five matches. They have shown a remarkable ability to find the net, scoring in all seven of their Europa League fixtures so far. However, defensive lapses have been a recurring issue, as they have conceded in six of those seven games.

Statistically, Celta’s matches tend to open up after the break. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 29 of their last 32 matches, while under 1.5 goals have been recorded at half time in each of their last 14 games. This pattern suggests that the Spanish side often start cautiously before engaging in more open play later on. Away from home, they have been less prolific, with under 0.5 goals scored in two of their last ten away fixtures.

Match Analysis and Tactical Overview

This encounter promises to be a fascinating battle between two teams with contrasting strengths. Crvena Zvezda rely on defensive organization and clinical finishing, while Celta de Vigo thrive on attacking momentum and creativity. The hosts’ ability to control the tempo and maintain compactness could frustrate Celta’s forward line, but the visitors’ relentless attacking style ensures that they will create chances of their own.

Given that both teams have already qualified, the pressure is somewhat reduced, which could lead to a more open and entertaining game. Zvezda’s recent run of clean sheets will be tested by a Celta side that has scored in every Europa League match this season. On the other hand, the Spanish team’s defensive vulnerabilities might give the home side opportunities to strike on the counter.

Historically, the head-to-head record between these two clubs is balanced, with one win each and an average of 4.5 total goals per game. That history, combined with their current form, points toward another high-energy contest where both sides are likely to find the back of the net.

BetMines Prediction: Red Star Belgrade vs Celta Vigo

Considering the attacking consistency of Celta de Vigo and the defensive solidity of Crvena Zvezda, this match could deliver goals at both ends. The data supports this outlook, with Both Teams To Score – Yes emerging as the most probable outcome, carrying a 56% probability. Expect an engaging encounter where both sides contribute to the scoreline as they battle for a top-eight finish in the Europa League.