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Prediction published on Sep 23, 2025 11:38 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Sep 23, 2025 11:43 AM
The Europa League returns with a fascinating clash as Red Star Belgrade host Celtic at the Rajko Mitic Stadium on Wednesday, September 24, 2025. Both clubs are accustomed to competing at the highest level in Europe, but after falling short in the Champions League qualifiers, they now aim to make a strong impression in this competition. With both sides entering the match in good domestic form, this encounter promises intensity, goals, and plenty of drama for the fans.
Red Star Belgrade arrive at this fixture in excellent scoring form. After their elimination by Pafos in the Champions League qualifiers, the Serbian champions have bounced back strongly in the domestic league. They recently secured a crucial 2-1 away victory against Partizan on September 20, extending their positive momentum. In their last five matches, Red Star have collected 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, averaging an impressive 3.2 goals scored per game while conceding 1.2.
Their attacking consistency is remarkable: Red Star have scored in each of their last 40 consecutive matches, including their last 21 home fixtures. They have also been prolific in the first half, with over 0.5 goals scored before the break in 25 of their last 26 games. At home in the Europa League, they boast a strong record, winning 8 of their last 13 matches in the competition. This makes them a formidable opponent, especially in Belgrade, where the atmosphere is notoriously difficult for visiting teams.
Key to their attack is veteran forward Aleksandar Katai, who has already netted 11 goals in the Serbian Super Liga this season. Alongside him, summer signing Marko Arnautovic has added valuable experience and creativity, contributing one goal and three assists in his first three starts. With no reported injuries, Red Star will be at full strength for this crucial European opener.
Celtic also enter this match in fine form, having responded well after their Champions League exit to Kairat Almaty. The Scottish champions recently demolished Partick Thistle 4-0 in the League Cup, extending their unbeaten streak to 17 matches across all competitions. In their last five outings, they have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.2. Their defensive solidity has been a standout feature, with four clean sheets in their last five matches.
In the Europa League, Celtic have been consistent scorers, finding the net in 19 of their last 20 matches in the competition. They are also unbeaten at half time in their last 13 European fixtures, showing resilience and tactical discipline. However, their away record in Europe remains a concern, as they are winless in their last six continental trips, three of which ended in defeat.
Manager Brendan Rodgers faces some selection challenges, with Alistair Johnston, Anthony Ralston, and Auston Trusty potentially unavailable. Nevertheless, the squad has been boosted by the arrivals of Kelechi Iheanacho and Sebastian Tounekti, who are pushing for starting roles. Experienced defender Kieran Tierney could play a pivotal role in stabilizing the backline, especially against Red Star’s in-form forwards.
This match brings together two sides with contrasting strengths. Red Star Belgrade are in free-scoring form, particularly at home, where they rarely fail to deliver goals. Their attacking duo of Katai and Arnautovic will test Celtic’s defensive organization throughout the game. On the other hand, Celtic have built their recent success on defensive discipline, conceding just once in their last five matches. Their ability to remain compact and frustrate opponents could be crucial in Belgrade.
Statistically, both teams are likely to find the net. Red Star have scored in every one of their last 40 matches, while Celtic have been consistent scorers in Europe. The Serbian side’s attacking firepower combined with Celtic’s resilience suggests a balanced contest, but one that could open up as the game progresses. With both sides eager to start their Europa League campaign positively, a high-scoring encounter looks probable.
Historically, Red Star have been strong at home in this competition, while Celtic’s struggles away in Europe could tilt the balance slightly in favor of the hosts. However, given Celtic’s unbeaten run and defensive record, this promises to be a tightly contested battle where small details may decide the outcome.
Red Star Belgrade vs Celtic prediction by BetMines:
The statistical analysis highlights the best value in the Over 2.5 goals market, with a probability of 63%. Both teams are in strong scoring form, and the data suggests a high likelihood of goals at the Rajko Mitic Stadium.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Crvena Zvezda
Celtic
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
1
9
2
8
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
8
2
9
1