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Crvena Zvezda vs Larne Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Champions League 29-07-2026

Crvena Zvezda

5 - 0

FT

Larne

Stadion Rajko Mitić
Elçin Məsiyev
clear sky 23.75 °C

Prediction published on Jul 27, 2026 6:03 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Jul 27, 2026 6:03 PM

Crvena Zvezda welcome Larne on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, for the second leg of their Champions League qualifying tie. The hosts carry a commanding advantage into the contest after winning 4-0 away on July 21. That result leaves Larne requiring a major turnaround, while Crvena Zvezda can build on a powerful first-leg display in which they controlled 69% of possession, attempted 27 shots, placed 15 on target and did not allow their opponents a single corner. The Serbian champions also arrive after a 3-1 league victory over Vojvodina on July 26, extending their strong opening to the season. Larne, who overcame Tre Fiori 3-1 on aggregate in the previous qualifying round, now face a much more demanding challenge after managing only one attempt across the entire first leg.

Crvena Zvezda Recent Form and Key Statistics

Crvena Zvezda successfully defended their Serbian Superliga title last season and are attempting to return to the Champions League main draw after missing out in the previous campaign. Their performance in the opening leg demonstrated the scale of their ambition. They scored four unanswered goals away from home and restricted Larne to very little attacking activity, establishing a substantial lead before the return fixture at Stadion Rajko Mitić.

The hosts maintained their momentum by defeating Vojvodina 3-1 on July 26. They have scored 12 goals across their first three matches in all competitions this season, while their latest five-match record stands at three wins, one draw and one defeat. Across those five fixtures, they averaged 3.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In Champions League action this season, their record is one win from one match, with averages of 4.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded.

The longer-term numbers also point towards regular attacking output. Crvena Zvezda have scored at least once in each of their last 16 home Champions League matches, and those same 16 fixtures all produced more than 1.5 total goals. At least one goal was recorded before half time in every match across that sequence. Their previous 13 home games in the competition have also contained a second-half goal, showing that scoring activity has not been limited to one period.

Across all venues, Crvena Zvezda have found the net in each of their last 13 Champions League matches and in 27 of their previous 29 fixtures in all competitions. More than 1.5 total goals were scored in 25 of their last 27 Champions League games, while 25 of those 27 featured at least one second-half goal. They have also led at half time in their last three matches and in seven of their previous 10 home fixtures, although they lost the first half in six of their last 10 Champions League home games. Those contrasting figures underline why the current four-goal advantage is important, despite the hosts entering as the stronger side.

Larne Recent Form and Key Statistics

Larne reached this stage by eliminating Tre Fiori 3-1 on aggregate, securing their first appearance in the second round of Champions League qualifying. Their progress was followed by a difficult first encounter with Crvena Zvezda, however, as the 4-0 home defeat left them with a steep task in the return leg. The visitors spent much of that match inside their own half and produced only one shot during the 90 minutes.

Their overall recent record nevertheless contains positive results. Larne have registered three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded. Their Champions League record this season is two wins and one loss, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.7 allowed per game. The heavy first-leg defeat is therefore their only loss across the stated five-match sequence, but it also represents the clearest evidence of the difficulty they face in this particular matchup.

Away from home, Larne are unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions and recorded four clean sheets during that run. That resilience offers them one encouraging point before Wednesday’s fixture. However, they must balance the need to protect that away record with the requirement to recover from a four-goal deficit. Two of their last 10 away matches finished without a goal from either team, while their recent five-match scoring average remains one goal per game.

The supplied Champions League ranking lists Crvena Zvezda first and Larne second. More significantly for the return match, the only recorded head-to-head meeting is the 4-0 result from July 21. Consequently, Larne’s head-to-head record against these opponents stands at no wins, no draws and one defeat, with an average of zero goals scored and four conceded.

Crvena Zvezda vs Larne Match Analysis

The first-leg statistics provide the clearest framework for this Champions League qualifier. Crvena Zvezda combined four goals with 69% possession and 15 efforts on target, while Larne created only one attempt and failed to win a corner. With the tie now moving to Crvena Zvezda’s home ground, the hosts have both the numerical advantage and an extended home scoring sequence in this competition.

Crvena Zvezda’s recent attacking record suggests they can continue creating opportunities. They have scored 12 times in three matches this season, average three goals across their latest five games and have produced at least one goal in 16 consecutive Champions League home fixtures. The repeated presence of first-half and second-half goals in their home matches also indicates that Larne may need to remain disciplined throughout the contest rather than focus on a single phase.

Larne’s five-match unbeaten away run before this fixture, including four clean sheets, deserves recognition. Even so, overturning the deficit would require a dramatically different performance from the first leg. They must improve on a match in which they managed one shot while also containing a side that attempted 27. The visitors’ recent average of one goal per game further illustrates the size of the recovery required.

Overall, the match context strongly favours Crvena Zvezda’s pursuit of a place in the next qualifying round. Their four-goal lead allows them to manage the contest, but their scoring trends indicate that they still possess the attacking platform to press for another positive result. Larne’s immediate objective will be to compete more effectively than they did on July 21, reduce the volume of chances conceded and use their recent away resilience to keep the second leg as controlled as possible.

Crvena Zvezda vs Larne - Predictions

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Crvena Zvezda vs Larne: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Crvena Zvezda

Larne

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

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Standings of Crvena Zvezda and Larne in Champions League

League Stage - Ranking

Team

8th Finals
Play-off

Who will win ?

Crvena Zvezda vs Larne: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Crvena Zvezda vs Larne be played?
The Champions League match between Crvena Zvezda and Larne will be played on July 29, 2026 at 18:00.
Where will Crvena Zvezda vs Larne be played?
The match between Crvena Zvezda and Larne will be played at Stadion Rajko Mitić, Beograd - Europe
Who will referee Crvena Zvezda vs Larne?
The referee for the match will be Elçin Məsiyev.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Crvena Zvezda vs Larne in the Champions League?
The odds are: Crvena Zvezda to win 1.05, draw 12.00, Larne to win 29.00.
What are the betting odds for Crvena Zvezda vs Larne for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Champions League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.25 and Under 2.5 at 3.75.
Will both Crvena Zvezda and Larne score in the Champions League?
The odds for both teams to score are 2.62, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.44.
What is the most likely correct score for Crvena Zvezda vs Larne in the Champions League?
The most likely correct score is 3-0, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Crvena Zvezda and Larne?
In the last 1 head-to-head matches between Crvena Zvezda and Larne, Crvena Zvezda won 1 times, Larne won 0, and 0 ended in a draw.

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