Tools
Prediction published on Nov 4, 2025 6:08 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 4, 2025 6:49 PM
The upcoming Europa League clash between Crvena Zvezda and LOSC Lille promises to be a fascinating encounter on matchday four of the 2025/26 group stage. The Serbian champions are still searching for their first victory in this phase, while the French visitors aim to consolidate their position among the top contenders. The match will take place in Belgrade, where the atmosphere at the Rajko Mitić Stadium is expected to be electric as both sides look to strengthen their European campaigns.
Crvena Zvezda enter this fixture with just one point from their opening three Europa League matches (D1, L2), leaving them two points adrift of the qualification zone. Domestically, they have also struggled to find consistency, drawing 1-1 against Radnik Surdulica last weekend, extending their winless run to four games in all competitions (D2, L2). Despite these setbacks, the Red-Whites remain a formidable force at home, having lost only once in their last 11 competitive fixtures in Belgrade (W7, D3, L1).
Statistically, the Serbian side are one of the most reliable attacking teams at home. They have scored in 38 of their last 40 matches across all competitions and in 22 consecutive home games. Their attacking consistency is complemented by a strong first-half record, having led at the break in 9 of their last 13 home matches. However, their defensive line has shown vulnerability in Europe, conceding at least one goal in each of their last 12 Europa League matches. This trend suggests that while they are potent going forward, keeping clean sheets remains a challenge.
Another notable pattern is the high-scoring nature of their games. Over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in 37 of their last 40 matches, and both teams have found the net in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures. These numbers underline Crvena Zvezda’s attacking intent but also highlight their defensive fragility, a combination that often leads to entertaining matches for the neutral spectator.
LOSC Lille travel to Serbia in good spirits after a narrow 1-0 victory over Angers in Ligue 1, a result that continued their pattern of alternating wins and losses over their last five matches (W3, L2). In the Europa League, the French side have collected six points from three games, courtesy of wins over Brann (2-1) and Roma (1-0), before suffering a thrilling 4-3 defeat to PAOK on matchday three. That loss exposed some defensive lapses, but Lille’s attacking prowess remains evident, averaging 2.4 goals scored per match in their last five outings.
On the road, Paulo Fonseca’s men have been competitive, winning three of their last five away fixtures in all competitions. Their attacking unit, led by a dynamic front line, has consistently produced goals, while their defense, though occasionally leaky, has managed to hold firm in key moments. Lille’s ability to adapt tactically and maintain composure under pressure will be crucial in Belgrade, especially against a side that thrives on home support.
Historically, French teams have found it difficult to secure results in Serbia, but Lille’s recent form suggests they have the tools to challenge that trend. Their balance between creativity in midfield and pace in attack could prove decisive, particularly if they can exploit the spaces left by Crvena Zvezda’s adventurous full-backs.
This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting fortunes but similar attacking philosophies. Crvena Zvezda will rely heavily on their home advantage and passionate crowd to push them toward their first group-stage victory. Their attacking statistics suggest they are likely to score, but their defensive record raises concerns about their ability to keep Lille at bay. The French visitors, meanwhile, have shown both resilience and attacking flair, capable of scoring against any opponent in this competition.
Given the offensive tendencies of both sides and their respective defensive vulnerabilities, this match has all the ingredients for an open and entertaining contest. The Serbian champions will look to impose their rhythm early, while Lille’s counter-attacking efficiency could make them dangerous throughout the 90 minutes. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and the data strongly supports the likelihood of goals at both ends.
In tactical terms, expect Crvena Zvezda to press high and rely on quick transitions, while Lille will aim to control possession and exploit spaces behind the home defense. The outcome may hinge on which side can better manage defensive transitions and capitalize on set-piece opportunities.
BetMines Prediction – Crvena Zvezda vs Lille:
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 60% probability. Both sides have shown consistent scoring form, and their defensive records suggest that clean sheets are unlikely in Belgrade.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Crvena Zvezda
LOSC Lille
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
1
9
6
4
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0