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Prediction published on Jan 5, 2026 8:05 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Jan 5, 2026 8:05 PM
The Premier League continues with an intriguing clash as Crystal Palace host Aston Villa at Selhurst Park on matchday 21. The home side are desperate to end their winless streak, while the visitors arrive in excellent form and looking to consolidate their position near the top of the table. With Palace sitting 14th and Villa in 3rd place, this fixture promises a fascinating contrast between a team struggling for rhythm and another riding a wave of confidence.
Crystal Palace have endured a difficult run of results in recent weeks. They have gone seven matches without a win across all competitions, including a 2-0 defeat to Newcastle United in their most recent league outing. The Eagles’ last five matches have produced no victories, two draws, and three defeats, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their season record in the Premier League stands at 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
At Selhurst Park, Palace’s struggles have been particularly evident. They are winless in their last six home games, and under 0.5 goals have been scored in three of their last thirteen home league fixtures. The team’s attacking output has been inconsistent, and they often find it difficult to break down compact defenses. In fact, at least one team has failed to score at half time in 31 of their last 32 matches, highlighting a recurring pattern of slow starts.
Injuries have also played a major role in Palace’s recent decline. As many as ten players are currently sidelined, with several others doubtful for selection. Among them are Jefferson Lerma, Chris Richards, and Nathaniel Clyne, while Ismaila Sarr is away on international duty at the Africa Cup of Nations. On a brighter note, Jean-Philippe Mateta remains a key figure in attack, having scored eight league goals this season, including six at home. His finishing ability could be crucial if Palace are to end their barren run.
Aston Villa arrive in South London full of confidence after a 3-1 victory over Nottingham Forest, a result that saw John McGinn score twice and Youri Tielemans deliver a standout performance in midfield. That win helped the Villans bounce back from a 4-1 defeat to Arsenal, which had ended their impressive 11-match winning streak. Over their last five matches, Villa have recorded four wins and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
In the Premier League this season, Villa’s record of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses underlines their consistency. They have not drawn any of their last 21 matches in all competitions, including 15 straight league games. Away from home, they have been particularly entertaining, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last twelve away fixtures. Moreover, at least one goal has been scored by Villa in their last thirteen matches, and over 0.5 goals have been recorded in the second half of each of their last fourteen games.
Despite their strong form, Villa’s record at Selhurst Park is less encouraging, having lost four consecutive matches at this venue. However, their current momentum suggests they are well equipped to challenge that trend. The visitors will be without Pau Torres, Ross Barkley, Tyrone Mings, and Amadou Onana due to injuries, while Evann Guessand is away on international duty. Even so, the depth of their squad and the creativity of players like Youri Tielemans—who completed 107 passes and provided an assist in the win over Forest—make them a formidable opponent.
This fixture pits two sides with contrasting fortunes against each other. Crystal Palace are struggling to find consistency, particularly in front of goal, while Aston Villa continue to impress with their attacking efficiency and tactical discipline. The home side’s defensive lapses and lengthy injury list could make it difficult to contain a Villa team that has scored freely in recent weeks.
Historically, Palace have enjoyed some success in this matchup, but the most recent head-to-head ended in a 3-0 victory for Villa. The visitors’ ability to maintain high intensity throughout matches, especially in the second half, could once again prove decisive. Given their current form and superior attacking options, Villa appear well placed to extend Palace’s winless run.
Based on the available data, the probability distribution for the 1X2 market stands at 38% for a home win, 23% for a draw, and 39% for an away win. The likelihood of both teams scoring is 56%, while the chance of over 2.5 total goals is 55%. These figures suggest a competitive but open contest, with the visitors holding a slight edge.
Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa prediction from BetMines: Aston Villa win (2) with 39% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
9
1