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Prediction published on Oct 30, 2025 5:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 30, 2025 5:19 PM
The Premier League returns to Selhurst Park this weekend as Crystal Palace host Brentford in what promises to be a tightly contested London derby. Both sides are level on 13 points after nine rounds, occupying 10th and 11th place respectively. The Eagles will look to defend their unbeaten home record, while the Bees arrive full of confidence after a string of impressive results. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent weeks, this clash could deliver plenty of entertainment for the fans in South London.
After a strong start to the season, Crystal Palace have hit a rough patch in the league, going three matches without a win (D1 L2). However, they regained momentum in midweek with a stunning 3-0 victory over Liverpool in the Carabao Cup, a result that sent them into the quarter-finals and boosted morale ahead of this fixture. That win was their first in five outings across all competitions, ending a run of inconsistent performances.
In the Premier League, the Eagles have recorded three wins, four draws, and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game while conceding just 1.0. Their defensive organization under Oliver Glasner remains a key strength, as they have not lost at half time in 19 of their last 21 matches. At Selhurst Park, Palace are unbeaten this season (W1 D3) and have not suffered a league defeat at home since February, when they fell 2-1 to Everton.
One of the standout performers has been Jean-Philippe Mateta, who has scored 21 goals in 27 Premier League home games under Glasner. The French striker ranks second in the league for expected goals (xG 0.9), trailing only Erling Haaland. His presence in the box will be crucial against a Brentford defense that has shown vulnerability on the road. However, Palace will be without Chris Richards due to a calf injury, while Chadli Riad, Caleb Kporha, and Cheick Doucoure also remain sidelined.
Despite their solid home form, Palace have managed just one clean sheet in their last six league matches at Selhurst Park, suggesting that defensive lapses could still be an issue. Nevertheless, their ability to control games early on—winning at half time in 8 of their last 12 league fixtures—could give them an edge if they start strongly.
Brentford arrive in South London in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches in all competitions. The Bees have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.6 goals scored per game during that stretch while conceding only 0.8. Their most recent outing saw them demolish Grimsby Town 5-0 in the EFL Cup, marking their biggest win since January and securing a fourth quarter-final appearance in six years.
In the Premier League, Brentford’s record stands at four wins, one draw, and four defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. They have found the net in each of their last 16 away games in all competitions, including 14 consecutive away league fixtures. This attacking consistency makes them a dangerous opponent for any home side.
Key to their recent success has been Igor Thiago, who has scored six goals in nine Premier League appearances this season. The Brazilian forward converted a penalty in the 3-2 win over Liverpool last weekend and was rested in midweek to stay fresh for this encounter. Another player to watch is Ismaila Sarr, who netted twice against Liverpool in the cup and now boasts five goals and one assist in eight domestic appearances. Reiss Nelson, on loan from Arsenal, could also feature after scoring and assisting in the midweek cup tie.
Brentford’s away record has improved recently, with a 2-0 win at West Ham following three consecutive away defeats earlier in the campaign. They have also been strong starters, winning at half time in 10 of their last 14 league matches. However, injuries remain a concern, with Josh Dasilva, Paris Maghoma, Aaron Hickey, Antoni Milambo, Yegor Yarmolyuk, and Gustavo Nunes all unavailable.
Historically, this fixture has been evenly balanced. In their last five head-to-head meetings, Palace have won once, drawn twice, and lost twice, with both teams averaging 1.4 goals per game. The most recent encounter ended 1-2 in favor of Brentford in January 2025. Matches between these sides tend to be open, with three or more goals scored in each of their last three clashes.
Palace’s home matches this season have produced an average of 2.75 goals, while Brentford’s away games average 3.25 goals. Both teams have shown attacking intent but also defensive fragility, which could lead to another high-scoring affair. Glasner’s men will rely on Mateta’s finishing and their home crowd to regain league momentum, while Brentford’s pace and direct play through Sarr and Thiago could cause problems on the counterattack.
Given the form and attacking trends of both sides, this fixture looks set to deliver goals at both ends. Palace’s strong home record and Brentford’s scoring streak away from home suggest that neither defense will keep a clean sheet. Expect an entertaining match where both teams find the net, continuing their recent pattern of goal-filled encounters.
Crystal Palace vs Brentford prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Crystal Palace
Brentford
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
3
7
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
1
9
3
7
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
10
0
10
0