Tools
Crystal Palace
3 - 0
FT
Fiorentina
Prediction published on Apr 7, 2026 8:04 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Apr 7, 2026 8:04 PM
The UEFA Conference League quarter-finals bring an intriguing first-leg clash between Crystal Palace and Fiorentina at Selhurst Park. Both sides have endured inconsistent domestic campaigns but now turn their attention to European success. The English hosts will aim to make home advantage count, while the Italian visitors look to extend their impressive continental form. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent weeks, this encounter promises to be a balanced and entertaining contest.
Crystal Palace enter this quarter-final after a steady run in the competition. They drew 1-1 against AEK Larnaca on March 19, maintaining a competitive rhythm despite mixed results in their last five matches (1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat). The Eagles have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game during that stretch, reflecting a cautious but effective approach. Their overall Conference League record stands at 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match.
At home, Palace have been difficult to break down, though goals have been scarce. Under 0.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last two home fixtures, suggesting a trend toward low-scoring affairs at Selhurst Park. However, they have shown strength in the early stages of matches, leading at half time in 8 of their last 10 Conference League outings. This combination of defensive discipline and early initiative could prove vital against Fiorentina’s dynamic attack.
Despite their mid-table domestic position, Palace’s European performances have been consistent. Their ability to control tempo and maintain compactness has made them a tough opponent, especially at home. The challenge will be to convert possession into goals, as their recent matches have often lacked finishing precision.
Fiorentina arrive in London in excellent form, having defeated Hellas Verona 1-0 away on April 4. That victory extended their unbeaten streak to five matches (4 wins, 1 draw), during which they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. In the Conference League, La Viola have been one of the most consistent sides, posting 8 wins and 4 losses, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
The Italian side’s away form has been particularly impressive. They have won five of their last six away matches in all competitions, showing resilience and tactical maturity. In the Conference League, Fiorentina’s attacking rhythm tends to build as games progress — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 13 away fixtures in this competition. Moreover, 24 of their last 26 matches overall have featured at least one second-half goal, underlining their ability to finish strongly.
Fiorentina’s balance between attack and defense has been key to their success. Their recent results suggest a team capable of adapting to different match scenarios, whether controlling possession or hitting on the counter. With their current momentum, they will look to secure a positive result before the return leg in Italy.
This first-leg encounter is finely poised between two sides with contrasting strengths. Crystal Palace rely on structure and discipline, often looking to strike early and protect their lead. Their home record in Europe has been solid, though they will need to find greater attacking sharpness to challenge Fiorentina’s defense. The English side’s tendency to keep matches tight could make this a low-scoring affair, especially in the opening stages.
Fiorentina, on the other hand, bring momentum and confidence from a strong run of results. Their ability to score late and maintain composure away from home makes them a dangerous opponent. The Italians have consistently produced goals in the second half, which could be decisive if the match remains balanced after the break. Both teams have shown defensive stability, but Fiorentina’s recent attacking form gives them a slight edge in terms of creativity and finishing.
Given the statistical trends, this matchup could feature a cautious first half followed by a more open second period. Palace’s home advantage and Fiorentina’s away efficiency suggest that both sides are capable of finding the net, making this a potentially even contest with goals at both ends.
BetMines prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 50% probability.
With both sides showing consistent scoring patterns in recent matches and Fiorentina’s tendency to produce second-half goals, the expectation is for each team to find the net. Palace’s solid home record and Fiorentina’s attacking momentum point toward a balanced and competitive first leg that could set up an exciting return fixture in Italy.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
1
9
7
3
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0