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Prediction published on Mar 13, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Mar 13, 2026 4:02 PM
The Premier League’s Sunday action features an intriguing clash at Selhurst Park as Crystal Palace host Leeds United. Both sides are separated by just two places in the standings, with Palace sitting 13th and Leeds 15th after 29 rounds. The home side will look to build on their recent consistency, while the visitors aim to escape the lower half of the table. With both teams showing mixed form, this encounter promises to be a tight and competitive affair.
Crystal Palace come into this fixture following a goalless draw against AEK Larnaca in the Conference League on March 12. That result extended their unbeaten run to three matches in all competitions. In their last five outings, the Eagles have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game. This improved defensive record has been a key factor in their recent progress.
In the Premier League, Palace’s season record stands at 10 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Despite their overall balance, home form remains a concern. The Eagles have managed only one victory in their last nine league games at Selhurst Park, collecting 15 points from 14 home fixtures — the sixth-worst home record in the division. They have also scored the second-fewest home goals this season, with just 14.
However, Palace’s defensive resilience at home has improved lately, keeping clean sheets in their last three matches at this venue. Historically, they have also enjoyed a strong record against Leeds here, remaining unbeaten in their last seven home meetings. That psychological edge could prove crucial as they look to climb back into the top half of the table.
Leeds United travel to London after a morale-boosting 3-0 win over Norwich City on March 8, which secured their place in the FA Cup quarter-finals for the first time in over two decades. That victory ended a four-match winless streak in the league, where they had drawn twice and lost twice. Over their last five matches in all competitions, Leeds have registered one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
In the Premier League, the Whites’ record stands at 7 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Their away form remains a major weakness — just one league win on the road this season and nine points collected from 14 away games. Despite this, Leeds have been difficult to beat recently, losing only one of their last seven away league fixtures, drawing the other six.
Leeds’ matches tend to come alive after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 25 of their last 27 games across all competitions. This trend suggests that the visitors often grow into matches and could pose a late threat at Selhurst Park. Their last meeting with Palace ended in a 4-1 home victory, and they will hope to replicate that attacking display here.
Both teams enter this fixture with contrasting strengths. Crystal Palace have tightened up defensively and will rely on their home advantage, while Leeds United bring attacking momentum from their recent cup success. The Eagles’ short turnaround from their midweek European fixture could, however, test their stamina against a Leeds side eager to exploit any fatigue.
Historically, this matchup has produced goals — 14 in the last three meetings, averaging 4.7 per game. Leeds’ attacking approach and Palace’s improving form suggest another open contest could be on the cards. Still, Palace’s defensive solidity at home and Leeds’ inconsistency on the road make this a finely balanced encounter.
Statistically, the win probabilities stand at 46% for a Palace win, 28% for a draw, and 26% for a Leeds victory. The most likely scenario points toward a competitive game with both sides finding the net at some stage. Given the recent scoring patterns and head-to-head history, a goal-filled match seems plausible.
Crystal Palace vs Leeds United prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Crystal Palace
Leeds United
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
1
9
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
10
0
10
0